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MarketsGeopolitics

Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $550.9

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

December 31 63%November 30 34%November 15 5%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

3 levels openin level order

OptionBuy
November 15No smart money5%
November 30No smart money34%
December 31No smart money63%

3 open levels, in level order.

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Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

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Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and one or more Iranian government officials are present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.