SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN2 levels openResearch 3d ago
December 31 30%October 31 2%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
2 levels open · in level order
2 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · December 31
1 pts below the market · 4 AI analysts
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if the Supreme Court grants certiorari, as shown on its docket or orders list, in a case about sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The case must cover at least one of three questions. First, whether sports-outcome contracts are regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act. Second, whether CFTC regulation preempts state gambling laws as applied to them. Third, whether federally licensed markets may offer such contracts or may be restricted or barred f…
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities. The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting.
