MarketsCrypto
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN11 levels openResearch 15h ago
↑ 110,000 9%↑ 120,000 6%↑ 170,000 1%↑ 180,000 1%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
11 levels open · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
11 open levels, in level order. +19 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ 1,000,000<1%1%+1
↑ 500,000<1%1%+1
↑ 250,000<1%1%+1
↑ 200,000<1%1%0
↑ 190,000<1%1%0
↑ 180,0001%1%0
+5 more options
AI analysts' average · ↑ 110,000
9%
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 394 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
↑ 120,000Yes tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 5 tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1DarkleyWillingDarkleyWilling: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 5 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 5 · 5
↑ 110,000Yes tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 5 tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 3 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1Dimpled-FoalDimpled-Foal: Tier 2, #38 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 5 · 3
↑ 200,000Yes tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No timebrotimetimebrotime: Tier 2, #43 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1DarkleyWillingDarkleyWilling: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 timebrotimetimebrotime: Tier 2, #43 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 · 1
↑ 180,000Yes tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1W1nnerW1nner: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 2
↑ 170,000Yes tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 XRPisSH8TXRPisSH8T: Tier 1, #8 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 · 1
↑ 500,000No tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
↑ 250,000No timebrotimetimebrotime: Tier 2, #43 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 timebrotimetimebrotime: Tier 2, #43 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T20 · 1
↑ 190,000Yes tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 · 0
↓ 15,000No tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T101 tsihkodiivestsihkodiives: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T10 · 1
2 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if Bitcoin reaches ↑ 110,000 at any moment before 2027 (market trading ends Jan 1, 2027, 05:00 UTC). The ↑ options need a rise to the stated price and the ↓ options need a dip to it. The published rule is only 'What price will Bitcoin hit before 2027?', so the price source is not specified.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 14:00 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
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