MarketsEconomy
What will gas hit the week of November 16?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Polymarket 24h vol $37
↑ $3.94 50%↑ $3.92 50%↑ $3.90 50%↑ $3.88 50%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
12 levels openin level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
↑ $3.94No smart money50%
↑ $3.92No smart money50%
↑ $3.90No smart money50%
↑ $3.88No smart money50%
↑ $3.86No smart money50%
↑ $3.84No smart money50%
↓ $3.82No smart money74%
↓ $3.80No smart money50%
↓ $3.78No smart money51%
↓ $3.76No smart money50%
↓ $3.74No smart money50%
↓ $3.72No smart money50%
12 open levels, in level order.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
12 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or above the specified price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the specified price for options marked ↓ (Low), for any date from Monday, November 16, 2026 through Sunday, November 22, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified week, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. The resolution source for this market will be the American Automobile Association (AAA) (https://gasprices.aaa.com/). Note: AAA currently publishes gas prices to four decimal places (e.g., $4.3718). The price will be used as published, without rounding.