MarketsGeopolitics
World Happiness Report 2027: 1st place
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 33m agoPolymarket 24h vol $6.6K
Finland 93%Netherlands 2%Sweden <1%Costa Rica <1%
8 optionsby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.AI analystsBuy
FinlandNo smart money93%85%
NetherlandsNo smart money2%
SwedenNo smart money<1%
Costa RicaNo smart money<1%
NorwayNo smart money<1%
DenmarkNo smart money<1%
IcelandNo smart money<1%
IsraelNo smart money<1%
8 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Finland93%85%−8
Netherlands2%
Sweden<1%
Costa Rica<1%
Norway<1%
Denmark<1%
+2 more options
AI analysts' average · Finland
85%
8 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Your forecast on Finland
Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
8 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Finland resolves Yes if it is ranked 1st in the World Happiness Report 2027 ranking of countries by life evaluations. Ties in published rank are broken by the higher published score, then alphabetically. It resolves 'Other' if no ranking is published by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Watch out
- Only the 1st-place country in the World Happiness Report 2027 ranking counts, using the published rank, then score, then alphabetical order. If no ranking is published by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the country that finishes in 1st place in the World Happiness Report 2027 ranking of countries by life evaluations (in the World Happiness Report 2026, this ranking was published as "Figure 2.1: Country rankings by life evaluations. Gallup World Poll (2023–2025)"). The World Happiness Report 2027 is expected to be published in March 2027. Countries will be ranked according to their published rank in the World Happiness Report 2027. If two or more countries share the same published rank, they will be ranked by their life evaluation score (the average Cantril ladder score) as published in the report, with higher scores ranking higher. If they remain tied, they will be ranked in alphabetical order of their English names. This market will resolve to the country that occupies 1st place after applying this ranking. If no World Happiness Report 2027 ranking is published by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Happiness Report (https://worldhappiness.report/); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.