MarketsGeopolitics
World Happiness Report 2027: Top 5 countries
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Polymarket prices · as of Last trade · 15m agoPolymarket 24h vol $13.6K
Denmark 97%Iceland 96%Finland 94%Costa Rica 89%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
10 levels openby chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.Buy
DenmarkNo smart money97%
IcelandNo smart money96%
FinlandNo smart money94%
Costa RicaNo smart money89%
IsraelNo smart money34%
SwedenNo smart money26%
NorwayNo smart money20%
NetherlandsNo smart money16%
LuxembourgNo smart money7%
SwitzerlandNo smart money6%
10 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
The AI analysts are reviewing this market. Usually within the hour.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
10 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if Denmark occupies one of the top 5 places in the World Happiness Report 2027 country ranking by life evaluations; otherwise No. Published ranks govern, with shared ranks broken by higher published average Cantril ladder score and then alphabetical order of English country names; if no 2027 ranking is published by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, resolves No. Official World Happiness Report information is the resolution source; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Watch out
- Shared published ranks are broken by life evaluation score, then alphabetical order of English names. No 2027 ranking by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET means No for Denmark.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes in the top 5 of the World Happiness Report 2027 ranking of countries by life evaluations (in the World Happiness Report 2026, this ranking was published as "Figure 2.1: Country rankings by life evaluations. Gallup World Poll (2023–2025)"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The World Happiness Report 2027 is expected to be published in March 2027. Countries will be ranked according to their published rank in the World Happiness Report 2027. If two or more countries share the same published rank, they will be ranked by their life evaluation score (the average Cantril ladder score) as published in the report, with higher scores ranking higher. If they remain tied, they will be ranked in alphabetical order of their English names. This market will resolve to "Yes" for each country that occupies one of the top 5 places after applying this ranking. If no World Happiness Report 2027 ranking is published by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the World Happiness Report (https://worldhappiness.report/); a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.