P&L: Polymarket's own P&L for this account, all markets.Plus
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
By segmentPlus
Open positions on Kellian markets
| Market | Side | Shares | Value | Entry | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 50,000 | $45,750 | 64¢ | 92¢ |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | No | 40,000 | $37,000 | 84¢ | 93¢ |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 20,000 | $18,700 | 84¢ | 94¢ |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 11,372 | $11,128 | 98¢ | 98¢ |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | No | 6,051 | $5,888 | 97¢ | 97¢ |
Recent movesPlus
Trading stylePlus
Markouts: How far the price moved after this trader's buys, in points (1 pt = 1¢), from the price they paid. 10M: median of their taker buys. 1D and 1W: size-weighted average of all their buys. Last 3 months.Plus
How far the price moved after their buys, in points (1 pt = 1¢): +2 pts at 1 day means the price was 2¢ above what they paid a day later. Above zero is their way.
Weekly P&L: Profit and loss of the whole account for each complete week (Monday to Sunday, UTC), with open positions at market price.Plus
Their profit or loss in dollars in each week: a column above zero is a week they made money, below zero a week they lost.
Calibration: How often their positions paid out, compared with the price they paid. Markets settled in the last 3 months.Plus
When they paid 30¢, did those positions pay out about 30% of the time? Each dot is price paid against how often it paid out; above the diagonal means more often than the price said.