Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 level openResearch 5d ago
December 31 3%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
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1 open level, in level order.
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · December 31
1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
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Rules
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- In plain English
- Resolves Yes if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, President Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.) that explicitly cites interference in U.S. elections, election processes, systems, voting procedures, ballots or voting machines as its basis. Otherwise No.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency, pursuant to the National Emergencies Act, explicitly relating to interference in U.S. elections or election processes, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying declaration must include formal language stating that a national emergency exists and must be issued under the National Emergencies Act (50 U.S.C. § 1621 et seq.). The declaration must explicitly reference interference in U.S. elections, election processes, election systems, voting procedures, ballots, or voting machines as the basis for the emergency. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act, or other actions that merely reference election interference without declaring a national emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to election interference. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official White House publications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
