Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN3 levels openResearch 1d ago
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? 5%November 21 2%November 14 <1%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.
3 levels openby chance
3 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
AI analysts' average · November 21
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
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The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- November 21: Yes if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense at any time between market creation and that date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of his resignation or removal by that date resolves Yes immediately, even if it takes effect later. Otherwise No.
- Watch out
- An announcement of resignation or removal by the end date resolves Yes immediately, even if it takes effect after that date.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
