How do I trade on "Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN1 level openCloses Jan 1, 2027

Polymarket chance · the 1 levels nearest 50%

Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31? 10%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.

1 level openin level order

Option24hAI analystsBuy

Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?No smart money10%2.58%

1 open level, in level order.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?10%8%−2

AI analysts' average · Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?

2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Your forecast on Aryeh Deri out as Shas Leader by December 31?

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

2d
Shas leader Aryeh Deri withdraws from party’s Knesset slate
The Jewish Chronicle
2d
Aryeh Deri to give up Knesset seat, stay on as Shas leader
JNS.org
2d
Shas leader Aryeh Deri quits Knesset after election defeat but retains party leadership
ynetnews
2d
Shas leader Aryeh Deri to step down from Knesset while remaining party chair
The Times of Israel
2d
Reports: Shas leader Deri, 2 other MKs withdraw from Knesset slate; Deri to remain party chairman
The Times of Israel
6d
Deri to remain as Shas leader after party’s rabbis reject his resignation request
The Times of Israel

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 1 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aryeh Deri ceases to be Leader of Shas for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aryeh Deri's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aryeh Deri and Shas; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aryeh Deri ceases to be Leader of Shas for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aryeh Deri's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Aryeh Deri and Shas; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How markets resolve