Traders

Counts updated 20h ago41 markets with 3 or more top traders holdingSorted by how far the traders' lean is from the price

MarketSegmentTop tradersChanceTraders' leanGapAI analystsCloses

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Social media · top 368 Yes · 3 No7%73% Yes+668%14h

Who holds it: 11 of the top 36 Social media traders

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Fed & rates · top 507 Yes · 2 No19%78% Yes+5920%55d

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?IPOs · top 140 Yes · 7 No75%100% No-7474%77d

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?AI rankings · top 227 Yes · 1 No39%88% Yes+4939%77d

Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?AI releases · top 490 Yes · 4 No93%100% No-9392%258d

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Geopolitics · top 506 Yes · 8 No6%57% No+376%16d

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?AI rankings · top 224 Yes · 1 No6%80% Yes+747%16d

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Elections (all) · top 501 Yes · 15 No38%94% No-3138%19d

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseWorld elections · top 5010 Yes · 1 No63%91% Yes+2860%19d

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?AI rankings · top 229 Yes · 0 No70%100% Yes+3069%16d

Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?AI (all) · top 504 Yes · 2 No23%67% Yes+4421%77d

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?World elections · top 507 Yes · 0 No70%100% Yes+3073%10d

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?World elections · top 502 Yes · 19 No31%90% No-2130%12d

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on October 31, 2026?AI (all) · top 503 Yes · 0 No32%100% Yes+6832%16d

Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Tech · top 212 Yes · 2 No99%50% Yes-4986%2h

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Fed & rates · top 503 Yes · 0 No36%100% Yes+6533%104d

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?AI rankings · top 221 Yes · 2 No94%67% No-6193%16d

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?AI releases · top 493 Yes · 9 No8%75% No+189%16d

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?AI (all) · top 502 Yes · 1 No13%67% Yes+5413%77d

Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?AI releases · top 494 Yes · 5 No28%56% No+1627%16d

Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Box office · top 196 Yes · 1 No66%86% Yes+2053%2d

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Fed & rates · top 5015 Yes · 11 No71%58% Yes-1366%13d

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Tech · top 212 Yes · 1 No27%67% Yes+4022%77d

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Geopolitics · top 500 Yes · 14 No12%100% No-1111%77d

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?World elections · top 507 Yes · 2 No91%78% Yes-1389%19d

Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $5.50 on October 31, 2026?AI (all) · top 503 Yes · 0 No65%100% Yes+3563%16d

Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Film awards · top 44 Yes · 0 No76%100% Yes+2536%150d

Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?AI releases · top 492 Yes · 1 No96%67% Yes-2992%16d

Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Box office · top 194 Yes · 1 No93%80% Yes-1278%2d

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Tech · top 213 Yes · 1 No90%75% Yes-1549%2h

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?AI releases · top 4912 Yes · 1 No87%92% Yes+683%16d

Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?AI (all) · top 502 Yes · 2 No38%50% Yes+1236%77d

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?AI (all) · top 501 Yes · 2 No18%67% No+1613%77d

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?AI rankings · top 221 Yes · 2 No47%67% No-1442%46d

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Tech · top 213 Yes · 0 No87%100% Yes+1384%16d

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?World elections · top 500 Yes · 3 No12%100% No-129%185d

Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?AI, other · top 121 Yes · 4 No15%80% No+612%77d

Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?Music charts · top 134 Yes · 1 No83%80% Yes-377%108d

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?World elections · top 503 Yes · 5 No37%63% No+142%19d

Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?AI, other · top 123 Yes · 1 No77%75% Yes-279%77d

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?AI releases · top 491 Yes · 2 No31%67% No+232%77d