How do I trade on "Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30, 2027?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

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Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels openCloses Jul 2, 2027

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

December 31, 2027 35%June 30, 2027 25%December 31 5%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

December 315%−1.0 pts—none

June 30, 202725%+7.5 pts—none

December 31, 202735%+13.0 pts—none

3 options trading.

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Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

3 options: no ranked trader holds them

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Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 3 options

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How markets resolve