How do I trade on "Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN16 options1 closedCloses Oct 24, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 16 options

260-279 30%280-299 25%240-259 19%300-319 14%

16 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

200-219<1%−10.4 pts12%2 · 1

220-2392%−19.2 pts25%2 · 1

240-25919%−7.0 pts28%5 · 1

260-27930%+11.0 pts19%6 · 1

280-29925%+12.5 pts9%6 · 0

300-31914%+8.0 pts5%5 · 0

320-3397%+4.2 pts7%6 · 0

340-3593%+2.3 pts4%4 · 0

360-379<1%+0.4 pts2%2 · 0

380-399<1%−0.1 pts1%3 · 0

400-419<1%−0.1 pts1%1 · 0

420-439<1%—2%1 · 0

440-459———none

460-479———1 · 0

480-499———none

500+———none

1 closed option

180-199<1%−2.7 pts4%—

16 options trading. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

200-219<1%12%+12

220-2392%25%+23

240-25919%28%+9

260-27930%19%−11

280-29925%9%−16

300-31914%5%−9

+10 more options

AI analysts' average · 480-499

—

Biggest gap

220-239: AI 25% vs market 2%, 23 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

260-27976 · 1

240-25965 · 1

280-29966 · 0

320-33966 · 0

300-31955 · 0

340-35944 · 0

200-21932 · 1

220-23932 · 1

380-39933 · 0

360-37922 · 0

400-41911 · 0

420-43911 · 0

460-47911 · 0

3 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN16 options1 closedCloses Oct 24, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 16 options

260-279 30%280-299 25%240-259 19%300-319 14%

16 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

200-219<1%−10.4 pts12%2 · 1

220-2392%−19.2 pts25%2 · 1

240-25919%−7.0 pts28%5 · 1

260-27930%+11.0 pts19%6 · 1

280-29925%+12.5 pts9%6 · 0

300-31914%+8.0 pts5%5 · 0

320-3397%+4.2 pts7%6 · 0

340-3593%+2.3 pts4%4 · 0

360-379<1%+0.4 pts2%2 · 0

380-399<1%−0.1 pts1%3 · 0

400-419<1%−0.1 pts1%1 · 0

420-439<1%—2%1 · 0

440-459———none

460-479———1 · 0

480-499———none

500+———none

1 closed option

180-199<1%−2.7 pts4%—

16 options trading. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

200-219<1%12%+12

220-2392%25%+23

240-25919%28%+9

260-27930%19%−11

280-29925%9%−16

300-31914%5%−9

+10 more options

AI analysts' average · 480-499

—

Biggest gap

220-239: AI 25% vs market 2%, 23 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

260-27976 · 1

240-25965 · 1

280-29966 · 0

320-33966 · 0

300-31955 · 0

340-35944 · 0

200-21932 · 1

220-23932 · 1

380-39933 · 0

360-37922 · 0

400-41911 · 0

420-43911 · 0

460-47911 · 0

3 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Related Markets

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts