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MarketsPolitics

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN10 optionsCloses Oct 24, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 10 options

260-279 29%280-299 22%240-259 19%300-319 15%

10 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
180-199<1%−2.7 pts4%1 · 1
200-219<1%−8.9 pts12%2 · 1
220-2395%−15.2 pts25%1 · 2
240-25919%−6.0 pts28%4 · 1
260-27929%+7.0 pts19%5 · 1
280-29922%+10.5 pts9%6 · 0
300-31915%+8.8 pts5%5 · 0
320-3398%+4.8 pts7%6 · 0
340-3593%+1.3 pts4%3 · 0
420-439<1%−0.1 pts2%1 · 0

10 options trading. +7 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
180-199<1%4%+4
200-219<1%12%+12
220-2395%25%+20
240-25919%28%+9
260-27929%19%−10
280-29922%9%−13
+4 more options

AI analysts' average · 340-359

4%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

220-239: AI 25% vs market 5%, 20 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's social media traders by 3-month profit · updated 29m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
260-27965 · 1
280-29966 · 0
320-33966 · 0
240-25954 · 1
300-31955 · 0
200-21932 · 1
220-23931 · 2
340-35933 · 0
180-19921 · 1
420-43911 · 0

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 10 options

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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340-359 · Buy YesOption 9 of 10

Polymarket price · live

Yes3¢
No97¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · 340-359

  • News0 today · latest 2d
  • AI analysts4% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–23 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.