MarketsPolitics
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN8 optionsResearch 1h ago
240-259 30%220-239 28%260-279 15%200-219 14%
8 options
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
8 options trading. +11 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
180-1992%4%+2
200-21914%12%−2
220-23928%22%−6
240-25930%26%−4
260-27915%19%+4
280-2997%12%+5
+2 more options
AI analysts' average · 180-199
4%
2 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts
Biggest gap
220-239: AI 22% vs market 28%, 6 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
280-29965 · 1
260-27954 · 1
300-31944 · 0
200-21933 · 0
220-23932 · 1
240-25933 · 0
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
