How do I trade on "Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN19 optionsCloses Oct 29, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 19 options

Gadi Eizenkot 52%Benjamin Netanyahu 27%Naftali Bennett 15%Avigdor Lieberman 3%

19 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Gadi Eizenkot52%+2.6 pts46%1 · 2

Benjamin Netanyahu27%−1.0 pts30%2 · 18

Naftali Bennett15%−1.0 pts12%2 · 1

Avigdor Lieberman3%+0.4 pts3%1 · 1

Moshe Feiglin<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Israel Katz<1%+0.1 pts1%1 · 0

Yossi Cohen<1%—1%none

Itamar Ben Gvir<1%−0.3 pts1%none

Gideon Sa’ar<1%—1%1 · 0

Nir Barkat<1%—1%1 · 0

Amir Ohana<1%—1%1 · 0

Ayelet Shaked<1%—1%none

Yair Lapid———none

Benny Gantz———none

Yair Golan———none

Yariv Levin———1 · 0

Yoaz Hendel———none

Gilad Erdan———none

Ofer Winter———2 · 0

19 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Gadi Eizenkot52%46%−6

Benjamin Netanyahu27%30%+3

Naftali Bennett15%12%−3

Avigdor Lieberman3%3%0

Moshe Feiglin<1%1%+1

Israel Katz<1%1%+1

+13 more options

AI analysts' average · Gilad Erdan

—

Biggest gap

Gadi Eizenkot: AI 46% vs market 52%, 6 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 18m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Benjamin Netanyahu202 · 18

Gadi Eizenkot31 · 2

Naftali Bennett32 · 1

Avigdor Lieberman21 · 1

Ofer Winter22 · 0

Israel Katz11 · 0

Gideon Sa’ar11 · 0

Nir Barkat11 · 0

Amir Ohana11 · 0

Yariv Levin11 · 0

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN19 optionsCloses Oct 29, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 19 options

Gadi Eizenkot 52%Benjamin Netanyahu 27%Naftali Bennett 15%Avigdor Lieberman 3%

19 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Gadi Eizenkot52%+2.6 pts46%1 · 2

Benjamin Netanyahu27%−1.0 pts30%2 · 18

Naftali Bennett15%−1.0 pts12%2 · 1

Avigdor Lieberman3%+0.4 pts3%1 · 1

Moshe Feiglin<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Israel Katz<1%+0.1 pts1%1 · 0

Yossi Cohen<1%—1%none

Itamar Ben Gvir<1%−0.3 pts1%none

Gideon Sa’ar<1%—1%1 · 0

Nir Barkat<1%—1%1 · 0

Amir Ohana<1%—1%1 · 0

Ayelet Shaked<1%—1%none

Yair Lapid———none

Benny Gantz———none

Yair Golan———none

Yariv Levin———1 · 0

Yoaz Hendel———none

Gilad Erdan———none

Ofer Winter———2 · 0

19 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Gadi Eizenkot52%46%−6

Benjamin Netanyahu27%30%+3

Naftali Bennett15%12%−3

Avigdor Lieberman3%3%0

Moshe Feiglin<1%1%+1

Israel Katz<1%1%+1

+13 more options

AI analysts' average · Gilad Erdan

—

Biggest gap

Gadi Eizenkot: AI 46% vs market 52%, 6 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 18m ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Benjamin Netanyahu202 · 18

Gadi Eizenkot31 · 2

Naftali Bennett32 · 1

Avigdor Lieberman21 · 1

Ofer Winter22 · 0

Israel Katz11 · 0

Gideon Sa’ar11 · 0

Nir Barkat11 · 0

Amir Ohana11 · 0

Yariv Levin11 · 0

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Resolution criteria: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Related Markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts