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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN19 optionsCloses Oct 29, 2026Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 19 options

Gadi Eizenkot 53%Benjamin Netanyahu 27%Naftali Bennett 15%Avigdor Lieberman 3%

19 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Gadi Eizenkot53%+2.5 pts46%1 · 2
Benjamin Netanyahu27%−1.0 pts30%2 · 18
Naftali Bennett15%+2.0 pts12%2 · 1
Avigdor Lieberman3%+0.3 pts3%1 · 1
Moshe Feiglin<1%−0.2 pts1%none
Israel Katz<1%+0.1 pts1%1 · 0
Yossi Cohen<1%—1%none
Itamar Ben Gvir<1%−0.3 pts1%none
Gideon Sa’ar<1%—1%1 · 0
Nir Barkat<1%—1%1 · 0
Amir Ohana<1%—1%1 · 0
Ayelet Shaked<1%—1%none
Yair Lapid———none
Benny Gantz———none
Yair Golan———none
Yariv Levin———1 · 0
Yoaz Hendel———none
Gilad Erdan———none
Ofer Winter———2 · 0

19 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Gadi Eizenkot53%46%−7
Benjamin Netanyahu27%30%+3
Naftali Bennett15%12%−3
Avigdor Lieberman3%3%0
Moshe Feiglin<1%1%+1
Israel Katz<1%1%+1
+13 more options

AI analysts' average · Itamar Ben Gvir

1%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Gadi Eizenkot: AI 46% vs market 53%, 7 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Benjamin Netanyahu202 · 18
Gadi Eizenkot31 · 2
Naftali Bennett32 · 1
Avigdor Lieberman21 · 1
Ofer Winter22 · 0
Israel Katz11 · 0
Gideon Sa’ar11 · 0
Nir Barkat11 · 0
Amir Ohana11 · 0
Yariv Levin11 · 0

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 19 options

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Itamar Ben Gvir · Buy YesOption 8 of 19

Polymarket price · live

Yes0¢
No100¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Itamar Ben Gvir

  • AI analysts1% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.