How do I trade on "Will Betty Gilpin be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN14 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 51m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tao Okamoto 61%Amanda Seyfried 61%Mariana di Girolamo 33%Olivia Colman 27%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

14 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Anne Hathaway88%—79%none

Samantha Morton82%−5.0 pts65%1 · 0

Penélope Cruz74%−0.5 pts75%1 · 0

Tao Okamoto61%−3.5 pts35%none

Amanda Seyfried61%+1.0 pts38%1 · 0

Mariana di Girolamo33%+8.0 pts60%none

Olivia Colman27%+1.0 pts21%none

Sandra Hüller25%+7.5 pts24%none

Parker Posey23%+0.5 pts19%1 · 1

Merritt Wever12%−3.5 pts11%none

Gemma Chan11%—9%none

Zendaya8%—7%none

Isabella Rossellini7%+0.3 pts6%0 · 1

Betty Gilpin5%+0.4 pts3%none

14 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 51m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Anne Hathaway88%79%−9

Samantha Morton82%65%−17

Penélope Cruz74%75%+1

Tao Okamoto61%35%−26

Amanda Seyfried61%38%−23

Mariana di Girolamo33%60%+27

+8 more options

AI analysts' average · Betty Gilpin

2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Mariana di Girolamo: AI 60% vs market 33%, 27 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Parker Posey21 · 1

Samantha Morton11 · 0

Penélope Cruz11 · 0

Amanda Seyfried11 · 0

Isabella Rossellini10 · 1

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN14 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 51m ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Tao Okamoto 61%Amanda Seyfried 61%Mariana di Girolamo 33%Olivia Colman 27%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

14 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Anne Hathaway88%—79%none

Samantha Morton82%−5.0 pts65%1 · 0

Penélope Cruz74%−0.5 pts75%1 · 0

Tao Okamoto61%−3.5 pts35%none

Amanda Seyfried61%+1.0 pts38%1 · 0

Mariana di Girolamo33%+8.0 pts60%none

Olivia Colman27%+1.0 pts21%none

Sandra Hüller25%+7.5 pts24%none

Parker Posey23%+0.5 pts19%1 · 1

Merritt Wever12%−3.5 pts11%none

Gemma Chan11%—9%none

Zendaya8%—7%none

Isabella Rossellini7%+0.3 pts6%0 · 1

Betty Gilpin5%+0.4 pts3%none

14 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 51m ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Anne Hathaway88%79%−9

Samantha Morton82%65%−17

Penélope Cruz74%75%+1

Tao Okamoto61%35%−26

Amanda Seyfried61%38%−23

Mariana di Girolamo33%60%+27

+8 more options

AI analysts' average · Betty Gilpin

2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Mariana di Girolamo: AI 60% vs market 33%, 27 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Parker Posey21 · 1

Samantha Morton11 · 0

Penélope Cruz11 · 0

Amanda Seyfried11 · 0

Isabella Rossellini10 · 1

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 14 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts