MarketsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurityBusinessProtocolFeesStatusContact

Play Money (PM) is for play. It can't be cashed out or moved.

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc.

Recorded on Base

 

 

 

 

MarketsMovies & TV

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN13 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Penélope Cruz 74%Tao Okamoto 71%Amanda Seyfried 57%Mariana di Girolamo 29%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

13 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Anne Hathaway88%−1.5 pts79%none
Samantha Morton83%+3.5 pts40%1 · 0
Penélope Cruz74%−4.0 pts75%1 · 0
Tao Okamoto71%+12.0 pts38%none
Amanda Seyfried57%+5.0 pts38%1 · 0
Mariana di Girolamo29%+3.5 pts60%none
Olivia Colman26%+1.0 pts25%none
Parker Posey22%+3.5 pts18%0 · 1
Sandra Hüller21%−11.5 pts26%none
Merritt Wever14%−0.5 pts14%none
Gemma Chan11%−1.0 pts10%none
Zendaya8%—8%none
Isabella Rossellini7%−0.1 pts6%none

13 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Anne Hathaway88%79%−9
Samantha Morton83%40%−43
Penélope Cruz74%75%+1
Tao Okamoto71%38%−33
Amanda Seyfried57%38%−19
Mariana di Girolamo29%60%+31
+7 more options

AI analysts' average · Zendaya

8%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Samantha Morton: AI 40% vs market 83%, 43 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Samantha Morton11 · 0
Penélope Cruz11 · 0
Amanda Seyfried11 · 0
Parker Posey10 · 1

9 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 13 options

Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Related Markets

Will Octane (Don Toliver) win Best Rap Album at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Will Skyler Gisondo be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Antonio Banderas be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Miles Teller be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Zendaya · Buy YesOption 12 of 13

Polymarket price · live

Yes9¢
No93¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · Zendaya

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analysts8% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.