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UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN30 levels openCloses Mar 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Olympiacos 48%Union Saint-Gilloise 48%Besiktas 43%Lyon 37%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

30 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Benfica90%+5.5 pts80%none
Bayer Leverkusen83%+1.0 pts70%none
Bournemouth81%+0.5 pts74%none
Juventus64%−10.5 pts71%none
Olympiacos48%+2.0 pts49%none
Union Saint-Gilloise48%+34.0 pts13%none
Besiktas43%−0.5 pts34%none
Lyon37%−12.5 pts51%none
Milan35%−13.5 pts45%1 · 0
Crystal Palace32%+1.5 pts32%none
Rennes32%−1.0 pts30%none
Ferencvaros31%+9.5 pts18%none
Real Sociedad22%—22%none
Marseille10%−4.1 pts7%none
Red Bull Salzburg10%−0.5 pts10%none
Omonia8%—10%0 · 1
Anderlecht8%−1.0 pts5%none
Celta Vigo7%−4.0 pts8%1 · 0
NEC7%+1.5 pts4%none
OFI6%+0.8 pts6%none
Lillestrom5%−0.4 pts4%none
Sturm Graz4%−0.3 pts—none
Torreense4%−1.4 pts5%none
Jagiellonia Bialystok3%−2.3 pts6%none
TSG Hoffenheim3%—4%none
Lech Poznan2%—5%none
Ararat-Armenia2%+0.6 pts1%0 · 1
Celje2%+0.2 pts2%none
Celtic<1%—5%none
Levski Sofia<1%—1%none

30 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Benfica90%80%−10
Bayer Leverkusen83%70%−13
Bournemouth81%74%−7
Juventus64%71%+7
Olympiacos48%49%+1
Union Saint-Gilloise48%13%−35
+24 more options

AI analysts' average · Celje

2%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Union Saint-Gilloise: AI 13% vs market 48%, 35 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1d
    Meet the 2026/27 Champions League league phase teams
    UEFA.com
  • 1d
    Preview: Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg - prediction, team news, lineups
    Sports Mole
  • 6d
    Ararat-Armenia vs. NK Celje: Live game updates, stats, play-by-play
    Yahoo
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Milan11 · 0
Omonia10 · 1
Celta Vigo11 · 0
Ararat-Armenia10 · 1

26 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 30 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Celje · Buy YesOption 28 of 30

Polymarket price · live

Yes3¢
No100¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Celje

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analysts2% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.