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UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN30 levels openCloses Mar 1, 2027

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Juventus 62%Lyon 47%Besiktas 46%Olympiacos 43%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

30 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Benfica90%+5.0 pts80%none
Bayer Leverkusen83%+1.0 pts70%none
Bournemouth81%+0.5 pts74%none
Juventus62%−12.5 pts71%none
Lyon47%−3.0 pts51%none
Besiktas46%+2.5 pts34%none
Olympiacos43%−4.5 pts49%none
Ferencvaros37%+15.5 pts18%none
Union Saint-Gilloise37%+23.5 pts13%none
Milan35%−13.5 pts45%1 · 0
Crystal Palace33%+2.5 pts32%none
Rennes32%−1.0 pts30%none
Real Sociedad22%—22%none
Celta Vigo16%+5.0 pts8%1 · 0
Marseille10%−4.3 pts7%none
Anderlecht8%−1.0 pts5%none
Sturm Graz7%+2.4 pts—none
OFI6%+0.8 pts6%none
Red Bull Salzburg6%−4.5 pts10%none
NEC5%+0.2 pts4%none
Omonia5%−3.0 pts10%0 · 1
Lillestrom5%−0.4 pts4%none
Torreense4%−1.4 pts5%none
Jagiellonia Bialystok3%−2.3 pts6%none
TSG Hoffenheim3%—4%none
Lech Poznan2%—5%none
Ararat-Armenia2%+0.1 pts1%0 · 1
Celje2%+0.1 pts2%none
Celtic<1%—5%none
Levski Sofia<1%—1%none

30 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Benfica90%80%−10
Bayer Leverkusen83%70%−13
Bournemouth81%74%−7
Juventus62%71%+9
Lyon47%51%+4
Besiktas46%34%−12
+24 more options

AI analysts' average · Sturm Graz

—

Biggest gap

Union Saint-Gilloise: AI 13% vs market 37%, 24 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

2News

  • 1d
    Meet the 2026/27 Champions League league phase teams
    UEFA.com
  • 6d
    Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz: First European Home Win
    The False 9
  • 6d
    Alvaro Rodriguez scored a late third as Bournemouth beat Sturm Graz in the Europa League
    Sky Sports
  • 6d
    Bournemouth 3-0 Sturm Graz: control, xG and a cameo MVP
    Sofascore
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Milan11 · 0
Celta Vigo11 · 0
Omonia10 · 1
Ararat-Armenia10 · 1

26 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 30 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Sturm Graz · Buy YesOption 17 of 30

Polymarket price · live

Yes24¢
No98¢
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Before you decide · Sturm Graz

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.