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UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN31 levels openCloses Mar 1, 2027Research 1d ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Sunderland 49%Union Saint-Gilloise 48%Olympiacos 43%Ferencvaros 41%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

31 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Benfica93%+8.5 pts80%none
Bournemouth85%+4.5 pts74%none
Bayer Leverkusen85%+2.5 pts70%none
Juventus63%−12.0 pts71%none
Sunderland49%−9.5 pts49%none
Union Saint-Gilloise48%+34.5 pts20%none
Olympiacos43%−7.5 pts48%none
Ferencvaros41%+19.0 pts18%none
Lyon36%−13.5 pts51%none
Rennes35%+3.0 pts30%none
Crystal Palace35%+4.0 pts32%none
Real Sociedad31%+9.5 pts22%none
Besiktas31%−12.5 pts35%none
Milan19%−30.0 pts32%1 · 0
Celta Vigo14%+3.0 pts8%1 · 0
Anderlecht8%−1.0 pts5%none
Omonia8%+0.5 pts10%0 · 1
Marseille7%−7.0 pts7%none
Sturm Graz7%+2.3 pts—none
Red Bull Salzburg7%−3.5 pts10%none
NEC7%+1.6 pts4%none
OFI5%+0.3 pts6%none
Lillestrom5%−0.5 pts4%none
Torreense4%−1.1 pts5%none
Jagiellonia Bialystok3%−2.3 pts6%none
TSG Hoffenheim3%—4%none
Lech Poznan2%—5%none
Ararat-Armenia2%−0.5 pts1%0 · 1
Celje1%+0.3 pts2%none
Celtic<1%—5%none
Levski Sofia<1%—1%none

31 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Benfica93%80%−13
Bournemouth85%74%−11
Bayer Leverkusen85%70%−15
Juventus63%71%+8
Sunderland49%49%0
Union Saint-Gilloise48%20%−28
+25 more options

AI analysts' average · Red Bull Salzburg

10%

3 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Union Saint-Gilloise: AI 20% vs market 48%, 28 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

2News

  • 1d
    Meet the 2026/27 Champions League league phase teams
    UEFA.com
  • 6d
    RB Salzburg Vs AC Milan, UEFA Europa League: Alphadjo Cisse's Hat-Trick Powers Rossoneri To 4-0 Win
    Outlook India
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Milan11 · 0
Celta Vigo11 · 0
Omonia10 · 1
Ararat-Armenia10 · 1

27 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 31 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Red Bull Salzburg · Buy YesOption 20 of 31

Polymarket price · live

Yes10¢
No97¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Red Bull Salzburg

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analysts10% · 3 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.