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UEFA Europa League: Team to Finish Top 8 in League Phase

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN31 levels openCloses Mar 1, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket chance · the 4 levels nearest 50%

Olympiacos 59%Sunderland 49%Ferencvaros 41%Union Saint-Gilloise 39%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

31 levels open · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Benfica93%+8.0 pts80%none
Bournemouth85%+4.5 pts74%none
Bayer Leverkusen85%+2.5 pts70%none
Juventus63%−12.0 pts71%none
Olympiacos59%+7.0 pts48%none
Sunderland49%−9.5 pts49%none
Ferencvaros41%+19.0 pts18%none
Union Saint-Gilloise39%+25.0 pts20%none
Lyon36%−13.5 pts51%none
Rennes35%+3.0 pts30%none
Crystal Palace35%+4.5 pts32%none
Real Sociedad31%+9.5 pts22%none
Besiktas31%−12.5 pts35%none
Milan19%−30.0 pts32%1 · 0
Celta Vigo14%+3.0 pts8%1 · 0
Anderlecht8%−1.0 pts5%none
Omonia8%—10%0 · 1
Sturm Graz7%+2.5 pts—none
Marseille7%−7.1 pts7%none
Red Bull Salzburg7%−3.5 pts10%none
NEC7%+1.4 pts4%none
OFI5%+0.3 pts6%none
Lillestrom5%−0.7 pts4%none
Torreense4%−1.0 pts5%none
Jagiellonia Bialystok3%−2.3 pts6%none
TSG Hoffenheim3%—4%none
Lech Poznan2%—5%none
Ararat-Armenia2%−0.7 pts1%0 · 1
Celje<1%+0.3 pts2%none
Celtic<1%—5%none
Levski Sofia<1%—1%none

31 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Benfica93%80%−13
Bournemouth85%74%−11
Bayer Leverkusen85%70%−15
Juventus63%71%+8
Olympiacos59%48%−11
Sunderland49%49%0
+25 more options

AI analysts' average · Sunderland

49%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 219 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 1d
    Quiz ! Can you name the top scorer of every Premier League team in 1996 - 97 ?
    fourfourtwo.com
  • 1d
    Meet the 2026/27 Champions League league phase teams
    UEFA.com
  • 2d
    Predicted Europa League finishes for Sunderland, AC Milan and Celtic
    OneFootball
  • 3d
    Ranking All 20 Premier League Team Performances on Matchday 7 – Ghanamma . com
    ghanamma.com
  • 5d
    Bournemouth vs Sunderland Preview : Prediction , Probable Lineups , Tactics , Team News & Stats
    thehardtackle.com
  • 6d
    Sunderland’s predicted Europa League finish after wins over AZ Alkmaar and Torreense
    OneFootball
  • 6d
    Premier League relegation odds 2026/27: Can promoted trio emulate Sunderland?
    talkSPORT
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Milan11 · 0
Celta Vigo11 · 0
Omonia10 · 1
Ararat-Armenia10 · 1

27 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 31 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes in the top 8 of the final league phase standings of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only matches played in the league phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League will be considered. Qualifying rounds, the knockout phase play-offs, and all knockout rounds will not be considered. If two or more clubs are level on points, the ranking will be determined according to UEFA's official tie-breaker criteria as published for the competition. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish in the top 8 of the league phase (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from doing so), this market will immediately resolve to "No". If a listed club does not participate in, withdraws from, or is expelled from the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase, its market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League league phase is canceled or is not completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Sunderland · Buy YesOption 6 of 31

Polymarket price · live

Yes—
No—
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Before you decide · Sunderland

  • News0 today · latest 1d
  • AI analysts49% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.