MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchPlus

 

TermsPrivacySecurity
MarketsPerpsSmart moneyResearchDeveloperStatusContact

Not affiliated with Polymarket. Information only, not investment advice.

© 2026 Problee, Inc. · Recorded on Base

 

 

 

 

MarketsAI

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 optionsCloses Dec 2, 2026Research 15m ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 12 options

MiniMax 69%Google 21%SpaceXAI 2%Shengshu 1%

12 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
MiniMax69%−13.5 pts61%1 · 0
Google21%+6.8 pts—1 · 0
SpaceXAI2%−4.2 pts—none
Shengshu1%−0.1 pts—none
Pika<1%−2.7 pts—none
Luma AI<1%——none
ByteDance<1%−0.6 pts—none
Tencent<1%−5.7 pts3%none
Black Forest Labs<1%——none
Runway<1%——none
Lightricks<1%——none
HiDream<1%——none

12 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 15m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
MiniMax69%61%−8
Google21%——
SpaceXAI2%——
Shengshu1%——
Pika<1%——
Luma AI<1%——
+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Google

—

Biggest gap

MiniMax: AI 61% vs market 69%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

2News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's AI rankings traders by 3-month profit · updated 41m ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
MiniMax11 · 0
Google11 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment

Related Markets

Will Z.ai be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?

Will the Ornn A100 Index be at least $1.50 on October 31, 2026?

Will Lightricks have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?

Will HiDream have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?

Google · Buy YesOption 2 of 12

Polymarket price · live

Yes25¢
No84¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Kellian never holds your money.

Before you decide · Google

  • News0 today
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–21 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.