How do I trade on "Will Runway have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 optionsCloses Dec 2, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 12 options

MiniMax 70%Google 18%HiDream 4%SpaceXAI 2%

12 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

MiniMax70%−12.5 pts61%1 · 0

Google18%−0.7 pts—1 · 0

HiDream4%+4.2 pts—none

SpaceXAI2%−5.6 pts—none

Shengshu1%+0.1 pts—none

Pika<1%−2.7 pts—none

ByteDance<1%−0.5 pts—none

Black Forest Labs<1%+0.2 pts—none

Luma AI<1%——none

Runway<1%+0.3 pts—none

Tencent<1%−4.9 pts3%none

Lightricks<1%+0.3 pts—none

12 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

MiniMax70%61%−9

Google18%——

HiDream4%——

SpaceXAI2%——

Shengshu1%——

Pika<1%——

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Runway

—

Biggest gap

MiniMax: AI 61% vs market 70%, 9 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

MiniMax11 · 0

Google11 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

How markets resolve

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 optionsCloses Dec 2, 2026

Polymarket price · top 4 of 12 options

MiniMax 70%Google 18%HiDream 4%SpaceXAI 2%

12 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

MiniMax70%−12.5 pts61%1 · 0

Google18%−0.7 pts—1 · 0

HiDream4%+4.2 pts—none

SpaceXAI2%−5.6 pts—none

Shengshu1%+0.1 pts—none

Pika<1%−2.7 pts—none

ByteDance<1%−0.5 pts—none

Black Forest Labs<1%+0.2 pts—none

Luma AI<1%——none

Runway<1%+0.3 pts—none

Tencent<1%−4.9 pts3%none

Lightricks<1%+0.3 pts—none

12 options trading, by chance. +4 more on Polymarket

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

MiniMax70%61%−9

Google18%——

HiDream4%——

SpaceXAI2%——

Shengshu1%——

Pika<1%——

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Runway

—

Biggest gap

MiniMax: AI 61% vs market 70%, 9 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

MiniMax11 · 0

Google11 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Image-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Image-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked “Preliminary” at the applicable check time will be considered. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

How markets resolve

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Related Markets

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News