MarketsPolitics
Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN1 optionResearch 3h ago
70%+ 63%
1 option · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
1 open level, in level order. +4 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
70%+63%42%−21
AI analysts' average · 70%+
42%
21 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 0 level, 1 price closer, on 252 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
70%+Yes BiDiFakePollsBiDiFakePolls: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 BiDiFakePollsBiDiFakePolls: Tier 2, #22 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2lava-lavalava-lava: Tier 2, #46 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T12 · 1
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2023 example: https://publikacije.stat.gov.rs/G2024/Pdf/G20246006.pdf). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (Republička izborna komisija, https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).
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