MarketsWorld
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN3 levels openResearch 5h ago
June 30, 2027 30%December 31, 2026 8%March 31, 2027 8%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
3 levels open · in level order
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
3 open levels, in level order. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
December 31, 20268%5%−3
March 31, 20278%10%+2
June 30, 202730%19%−11
AI analysts' average · March 31, 2027
10%
2 pts above the market · 4 AI analysts
Biggest gap
June 30, 2027: AI 19% vs market 30%, 11 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
Rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
