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Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN5 levels openResearch 5h ago
June 30, 2027 28%March 31, 2027 10%December 31, 2026 6%November 30, 2026 3%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
5 levels open · in level order
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
5 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
October 31, 2026<1%1%0
November 30, 20263%4%+1
December 31, 20266%5%−1
March 31, 202710%10%0
June 30, 202728%19%−9
AI analysts' average · October 31, 2026
1%
level with the market · 4 AI analysts
Biggest gap
June 30, 2027: AI 19% vs market 28%, 9 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
News
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Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.