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Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN3 levels open

Polymarket chance · the 3 levels nearest 50%

June 30, 2027 9%March 31, 2027 6%December 31, 2026 2%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

3 levels open

Option24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
December 31, 20262%−0.1 pts2%3 · 3
June 30, 20279%+1.0 pts5%1 · 1
March 31, 20276%−2.0 pts4%none

3 options trading.

AI analysts

3 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
December 31, 20262%2%0
June 30, 20279%5%−4
March 31, 20276%4%−2

AI analysts' average · March 31, 2027

4%

2 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

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Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
December 31, 2026Yes anotherpatrick T2 No eCash T1 3 anotherpatrick T2Sylvester.the.Cat T2 3 eCash T1whig T2 3 · 3
June 30, 2027Yes Eia T2 No alwaysOn T21 Eia T21 alwaysOn T21 · 1

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

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Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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