MarketsBusiness
Anthropic IPO by __?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN11 levels openResearch 1h ago
November 23, 2026 71%November 19, 2026 54%November 17, 2026 28%November 16, 2026 27%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
11 levels open · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
11 open levels, in level order. +2 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
October 31, 2026<1%1%+1
November 15, 20262%2%0
November 30, 202689%60%−29
November 16, 202627%22%−5
December 15, 202693%77%−16
November 25, 202685%44%−41
+5 more options
AI analysts' average · November 24, 2026
75%
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 365 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
December 31, 2026Yes StupidMonkeyyyStupidMonkeyyy: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No tetrosetetrose: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 StupidMonkeyyyStupidMonkeyyy: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T26 tetrosetetrose: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1MaxEntMaxEnt: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 · 6
November 30, 2026Yes SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No M2sx92kljs42M2sx92kljs42: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T14 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1vimtodcsvimtodcs: Tier 2, #13 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 M2sx92kljs42M2sx92kljs42: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T14 · 1
December 15, 2026Yes SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No tetrosetetrose: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 SnapElectionAvoiderSnapElectionAvoider: Tier 1, #9 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T13 tetrosetetrose: Tier 1, #2 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1MaxEntMaxEnt: Tier 1, #6 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 · 3
November 15, 2026No M2sx92kljs42M2sx92kljs42: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 02 M2sx92kljs42M2sx92kljs42: Tier 1, #4 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1AnjunAnjun: Tier 1, #7 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 0 · 2
November 25, 2026Yes PumpPump: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No StupidMonkeyyyStupidMonkeyyy: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 PumpPump: Tier 2, #14 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 StupidMonkeyyyStupidMonkeyyy: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
6 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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