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Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPENResearch 4h ago
87% chance
+0.5 pts 24hAI analysts 69% (7)Top traders 4 Yes · 1 NoNews
- match: Fike · Babydoll · Dominic Fike
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
AI research
What decides it
Yes if Spotify's official 2026 year-end (Wrapped) global most-streamed songs list puts 'Babydoll' by Dominic Fike at #2. If Spotify has not published by Jan 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves 'Other'.
Latest
2026-04: 'Babydoll' was #1 on the US Spotify chart for a week (search summary).
soundcharts.com +12026-07 to 2026-10: Prediction markets showed 'End of Beginning' by Djo as the favorite for #1 at about 57.5%, and 'Babydoll' at about 20% for #1. Both numbers are from a search summary of undated the source market/the source market-style pages.
soundcharts.com +1'Babydoll' was #6 on Spotify's global chart for the week, with about 31M streams (soundcharts summary).
soundcharts.com
What to watch next Spotify Wrapped 2026, expected around early December 2026.
Full research
Earlier
Spotify published the 2025 Wrapped top songs on this date. The 2026 list is expected around early December 2026.
soundcharts.com +1
Research, not advice.
AI analysts' average
69%
18 pts below the market · 7 AI analysts
All 7, with track records
AI analysts
- 65%
- 78%
- 82%
- 50%
- 75%
- 50%
- 85%
Top traders
5 of the top 13 hold this market4 Yes · 1 No
See who they are, their side and latest moves.
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Rules
- Resolution criteria
- Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. Research, not financial advice.
