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MarketsAI

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN9 optionsCloses Nov 1, 2026Research 8h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 9 options

Xiaomi 68%Moonshot 16%Alibaba 10%Z.ai 4%

9 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Xiaomi68%+1.5 pts40%5 · 0
Moonshot16%+0.5 pts18%4 · 0
Alibaba10%+1.0 pts25%3 · 3
Z.ai4%−1.9 pts5%3 · 0
MiniMax2%−0.1 pts2%none
Baidu1%+0.1 pts2%none
ByteDance<1%−0.2 pts3%none
Meituan———none
StepFun———none

9 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 8h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Xiaomi68%40%−28
Moonshot16%18%+2
Alibaba10%25%+15
Z.ai4%5%+1
MiniMax2%2%0
Baidu1%2%+1
+3 more options

AI analysts' average · Baidu

2%

1 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Xiaomi: AI 40% vs market 68%, 28 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 11h
    1,000 Hongkongers to ride Baidu’s autonomous vehicles in city’s first public trial
    South China Morning Post
  • 18h
    Hankook Tire Expands iON Supply to Baidu Robotaxi Fleet in China
    Seoul Economic Daily
  • 19h
    Hankook Tire expands Baidu robotaxi tire supply across 10 Chinese cities - CHOSUNBIZ
    Chosunbiz
  • 19h
    Hankook Tire expands supply for Baidu robotaxis in China, extending coverage to 10 cities
    파이낸셜뉴스
  • 1d
    Baidu nears 2022 lows as search revenue declines and AI push fails to lift stock
    TradingView
  • 1d
    Baidu (BIDU) Expands Its AI Business, but the Core Revenue Recovery Remains Uncertain
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Baidu, China’s No. 1 in Autonomous Driving; Robotics Unicorn GALBOT ... China’s AI Rise Has Begun
    매일경제
  • 1d
    Tencent Leads, Baidu Ranks Second: The AI Office Market Landscape Remains Far From Finalized
    36Kr
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Alibaba63 · 3
Xiaomi55 · 0
Moonshot44 · 0
Z.ai33 · 0

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Meituan” would be ranked ahead of “Xiaomi”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Baidu · Buy YesOption 6 of 9

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No99¢
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket and never holds your money.

Before you decide · Baidu

  • News4 today · latest 11h
  • AI analysts2% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.