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NHL Hart Memorial Trophy Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN37 optionsResearch 1h ago
Connor McDavid 57%Macklin Celebrini 16%Kirill Kaprizov 5%Jack Eichel 5%
37 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
37 options trading, by chance. +81 more on Polymarket
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Connor McDavid57%31%−26
Macklin Celebrini16%17%+1
Kirill Kaprizov5%6%+1
Jack Eichel5%6%+1
Auston Matthews5%5%0
Dylan Strome5%4%−1
+31 more options
AI analysts' average · David Pastrnak
2%
level with the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 233 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Connor McDavidYes roldyroldy: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 roldyroldy: Tier 2, #15 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T201 · 0
36 options: no ranked trader holds them
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the player who wins the Hart Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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