How do I trade on "Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

The Black Ball 70%Dune: Part Three 63%Project Hail Mary 57%Wild Horse Nine 31%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

12 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

The Odyssey95%+0.5 pts92%none

Disclosure Day73%+8.0 pts76%none

The Black Ball70%−8.5 pts66%none

Dune: Part Three63%−0.5 pts60%1 · 1

Project Hail Mary57%—55%0 · 1

Wild Horse Nine31%+0.5 pts33%0 · 2

Behemoth!29%+4.0 pts22%1 · 1

You Can See Everything21%+3.0 pts8%none

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%—20%1 · 1

Whalefall7%+0.1 pts5%0 · 1

The Social Reckoning7%+1.0 pts6%0 · 1

The Drama4%−0.3 pts4%none

12 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

The Odyssey95%92%−3

Disclosure Day73%76%+3

The Black Ball70%66%−4

Dune: Part Three63%60%−3

Project Hail Mary57%55%−2

Wild Horse Nine31%33%+2

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Disclosure Day

76%

3 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

You Can See Everything: AI 8% vs market 21%, 13 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Dune: Part Three21 · 1

Wild Horse Nine20 · 2

Behemoth!21 · 1

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21 · 1

Project Hail Mary10 · 1

Whalefall10 · 1

The Social Reckoning10 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 2h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

The Black Ball 70%Dune: Part Three 63%Project Hail Mary 57%Wild Horse Nine 31%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

12 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

The Odyssey95%+0.5 pts92%none

Disclosure Day73%+8.0 pts76%none

The Black Ball70%−8.5 pts66%none

Dune: Part Three63%−0.5 pts60%1 · 1

Project Hail Mary57%—55%0 · 1

Wild Horse Nine31%+0.5 pts33%0 · 2

Behemoth!29%+4.0 pts22%1 · 1

You Can See Everything21%+3.0 pts8%none

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%—20%1 · 1

Whalefall7%+0.1 pts5%0 · 1

The Social Reckoning7%+1.0 pts6%0 · 1

The Drama4%−0.3 pts4%none

12 options trading, by chance. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 2h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

The Odyssey95%92%−3

Disclosure Day73%76%+3

The Black Ball70%66%−4

Dune: Part Three63%60%−3

Project Hail Mary57%55%−2

Wild Horse Nine31%33%+2

+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Disclosure Day

76%

3 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

You Can See Everything: AI 8% vs market 21%, 13 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

Dune: Part Three21 · 1

Wild Horse Nine20 · 2

Behemoth!21 · 1

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21 · 1

Project Hail Mary10 · 1

Whalefall10 · 1

The Social Reckoning10 · 1

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

1AI analysts

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

AI analysts