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MarketsMovies & TV

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN11 levels openCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

The Black Ball 70%Dune: Part Three 64%Project Hail Mary 57%Wild Horse Nine 32%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

11 levels open · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
The Odyssey94%−0.5 pts92%none
The Black Ball70%−2.0 pts68%none
Dune: Part Three64%−1.5 pts60%1 · 1
Project Hail Mary57%—55%0 · 1
Wild Horse Nine32%+2.0 pts33%0 · 2
Behemoth!28%−0.5 pts22%1 · 1
You Can See Everything21%+3.0 pts7%none
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth14%—15%1 · 1
Whalefall7%−0.6 pts5%0 · 1
The Social Reckoning6%—6%0 · 1
The Drama5%−0.6 pts4%none

11 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
The Odyssey94%92%−2
The Black Ball70%68%−2
Dune: Part Three64%60%−4
Project Hail Mary57%55%−2
Wild Horse Nine32%33%+1
Behemoth!28%22%−6
+5 more options

AI analysts' average · The Drama

4%

1 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

You Can See Everything: AI 7% vs market 21%, 14 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Dune: Part Three21 · 1
Wild Horse Nine20 · 2
Behemoth!21 · 1
The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth21 · 1
Project Hail Mary10 · 1
Whalefall10 · 1
The Social Reckoning10 · 1

4 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 11 options

Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Score. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Score when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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The Drama · Buy YesOption 11 of 11

Polymarket price · live

Yes7¢
No98¢
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Before you decide · The Drama

  • News1 today · latest 18h
  • AI analysts4% · 1 pts below
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.