Skip to content

US$5,000 forecasting contest · Free · No purchase necessary · US & Canada 18+ · Opens at 1,000 entrantsOpens at 1,000 entrants

RulesJoin the contest
MarketsSports

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN29 optionsResearch 2d ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 29 options

Joe Burrow 33%Josh Allen 23%Brock Purdy 15%Jordan Love 11%

29 optionsby chance

Option24hAI analystsBuy
Joe BurrowSmart money1 Yes0 No33%2.027%
Josh AllenSmart money1 Yes0 No23%0.526%
Brock PurdyNo smart money15%0.313%
Jordan LoveNo smart money11%0.212%
Trevor LawrenceNo smart money10%0.09%
Caleb WilliamsSmart money1 Yes0 No3%0.26%
Jaxson Smith-NjigbaNo smart money1%0.01%
Justin HerbertNo smart money1%0.01%
Jared GoffNo smart money1%0.41%
Drake MayeNo smart money<1%0.15%
Patrick MahomesNo smart money<1%0.03%
Jahmyr GibbsNo smart money<1%0.31%
Dak PrescottNo smart money<1%0.01%
Bo NixNo smart money<1%0.01%
Matthew StaffordNo smart money<1%0.01%
Lamar JacksonNo smart money<1%0.01%
Jalen HurtsNo smart money<1%0.41%
Jaxson DartNo smart money<1%0.01%
Baker MayfieldNo smart money<1%0.01%
Christian McCaffreyNo smart money<1%0.01%
Bijan RobinsonNo smart money<1%0.01%
Saquon BarkleyNo smart money
Derrick HenryNo smart money
Sam DarnoldNo smart money
De'Von AchaneNo smart money
Justin JeffersonNo smart money
Myles GarrettNo smart money
Puka NacuaNo smart money
Player JNo smart money

29 options trading, by chance.

AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 2d ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Joe Burrow33%27%−6
Josh Allen23%26%+3
Brock Purdy15%13%−2
Jordan Love11%12%+1
Trevor Lawrence10%9%−1
Caleb Williams3%6%+3
+23 more options

AI analysts' average · Drake Maye

5%

4 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Your forecast on Drake Maye

Public, on your forecaster record, beside the price now.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

News

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 6h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Joe BurrowYes CUTJALENHURTS T11 CUTJALENHURTS T101 · 0
Josh AllenYes ndb1 T21 ndb1 T201 · 0
Caleb WilliamsYes Gaditima T21 Gaditima T201 · 0

26 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules

Show rulesHide rules
In plain English
Drake Maye resolves Yes if Drake Maye wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 season, as announced by the NFL, and otherwise No. If multiple winners are announced after a tie, the winner whose listed last name comes first alphabetically counts. If the season is cancelled or postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by then, the market resolves to 'Other'.
Watch out
If no winner is declared by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the season is cancelled or postponed past then, the market resolves to 'Other', and no named player resolves Yes.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
Sign in to comment