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MarketsPolitics

Elon Musk # tweets October 22 - October 24, 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN10 optionsCloses Oct 25, 2026Research 57m ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 10 options

65-89 37%40-64 30%90-114 21%115-139 6%

10 options

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
<404%−0.7 pts7%none
40-6430%−14.0 pts44%2 · 0
65-8937%+2.5 pts30%2 · 1
90-11421%+7.0 pts17%1 · 0
115-1396%+0.6 pts5%1 · 0
140-1641%−0.1 pts1%2 · 0
165-189<1%−0.2 pts1%none
190-214<1%−0.2 pts1%none
215-239———none
240+———none

10 options trading. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

5 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 57m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
<404%7%+3
40-6430%44%+14
65-8937%30%−7
90-11421%17%−4
115-1396%5%−1
140-1641%1%0
+4 more options

AI analysts' average · 165-189

1%

1 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

40-64: AI 44% vs market 30%, 14 pts above

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 1h
    Dina pengar till Elon Musk kan hjälpa Ryssland – Borås Tidning
    bt.se
  • 1h
    Elon Musk Thinks $3.5 Trillion Tesla-SpaceX Mashup Is a Good Idea
    Bloomberg.com
  • 2h
    Elon Musk’s dream merger is a nightmare for SpaceX shareholders
    Fortune
  • 3h
    SUBS : Elon Musk & The 4 Hour Documentary We Cant Watch
    mamamia.com.au
  • 3h
    Elon Musk’s endorsement of SpaceX-Tesla merger sparks insider concerns- Reuters
    Investing.com
  • 3h
    Elon Musk threatens Hillary Clinton podcast partner Kara Swisher with prison after she claimed to know what coming for him if Democrats take power
    dailymail.com
  • 3h
    Tesla-SpaceX mega-merger may boost Elon Musk’s fortune by $110 billion
    CNBC TV18
  • 3h
    Elon Musk touts surging Tesla demand, reveals new Cybercab expansion plans
    Fox Business
  • 3h
    Starlink access in Ukraine a decision for Musk , not White House , Rubio says
    bdnews24.com
  • 3h
    Elon Musk Says He'd Be 'Stunned' If Any Robot Rivals Optimus At Launch: Gene Munster Calls It A Tesla 'Call Option' With 'Massive Value'
    Yahoo Finance
  • 4h
    Elon Musk scales back Tesla spending plans
    The Times
  • 4h
    Here Some Elon Musk Appreciation While the Pitchforks Are Out
    twitchy.com
  • 4h
    Elon Musk public backing for SpaceX - Tesla tie - up sparks fears of shareholder scrutiny
    economictimes.indiatimes.com
  • 4h
    Elon Musk flying car should fill us with wonder , not culture war cynicism
    cityam.com
  • 4h
    Exclusive-Musk’s public endorsement of SpaceX-Tesla deal may throw a wrench in talks
    WKZO
  • 4h
    Elon Musk says Tesla vehicle demand exceeding production ahead of Dallas Cybercab launch
    Fox Business
  • 5h
    I will come for them : Elon Musk threatens Democrats over plans to probe his empire
    timesofindia.indiatimes.com
  • 5h
    Musk races to seal $3 . 7 trillion SpaceX - Tesla merger before Trump exits , Bloomberg says
    investinglive.com
  • 5h
    Elon Musk Breaks Silence On Plans For A School For 10 , 000 Robots & Says Terafab Would Probably Rank Among The Top 20 Countries By Economic Value
    wccftech.com
  • 5h
    Elon Musk's ex-girlfriend must face xAI forum countersuit
    Courthouse News
  • 7h
    Elon Musk Claims His Terafab Will Produce Its First Chip By Mid-2027
    Gizmodo
  • 8h
    James Talarico fires back at Elon Musk in Texas Senate race feud
    CNBC
  • 9h
    Tesla’s stock falls as Elon Musk leaves investors wanting more
    MarketWatch
  • 9h
    Charles Payne: It's a lot harder to paint Elon Musk as a 'modern day Don Quixote'
    Fox Business
  • 10h
    My Conversation With Alex Gibney About Elon Musk’s Growing Power
    Katie Couric | Substack
  • 10h
    DADDY’S HOME: Elon Musk Drops Half a Million in NY-17 to Bail Out Mike Lawler
    Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee
  • 11h
    Elon Musk: Starlink Mobile’s game plan too big for an earnings call
    Fierce Network
  • 11h
    Elon Musk says he will retaliate against Democrats who investigate him
    Fox Business
  • 11h
    Elon Musk Reveals Surprise Deal Talks That Could Reshape Tesla
    Yahoo Finance
  • 11h
    Elon Musk's merger math
    Axios
  • 12h
    SpaceX Tesla Merger: Elon Musk Just Called it a Good Idea
    Yahoo Finance
  • 12h
    Talarico presses anticorruption agenda, targeting both Paxton and Elon Musk
    Houston Public Media
  • 13h
    Tesla Profit Slumps as Elon Musk’s Car Company Considers Merging With SpaceX
    The New York Times
  • 13h
    Opinion | Elon Musk Blunders in the Indian Market
    WSJ
  • 13h
    A SpaceX-Tesla megamerger could benefit both companies and Elon Musk's personal fortune
    AP News
  • 14h
    AI Boom Boosts Fortunes of Several Tech Leaders as Elon Musk Leads Gains, BestBrokers.com Says
    Yahoo Finance
  • 14h
    Elon Musk’s Super Pac spends $500,000 to back New York Republican in midterms
    The Guardian
  • 14h
    Fixer in Hollywood Smear Machine Scandal Spoke of Other Clients: Elon Musk, Jake and Logan Paul
    The Hollywood Reporter
  • 15h
    Is Elon Musk a Double Agent?
    OB Rag
  • 15h
    Will Elon Musk Help the Ellisons Pay Down Skydance's Massive Debt? John Malone Thinks So
    Variety
  • 16h
    What Elon Musk stands to gain from a Tesla-SpaceX merger
    Financial Times
  • 16h
    Vivian Wilson, Model and Elon Musk’s Estranged Daughter, Signs With Echo Lake Entertainment (EXCLUSIVE)
    Variety
  • 17h
    Elon Musk Says ‘I’ve Never Seen Anything Grow This Fast.’ One Product is the Key to Musk’s Plans to Cross $1 Trillion in Revenue.
    Yahoo Finance
  • 17h
    Brian Fitzpatrick calls for investigation into Elon Musk’s reported actions in Ukraine
    Inquirer.com
  • 17h
    Seth Meyers on Elon Musk: ‘Nobody likes him’
    The Guardian
  • 17h
    Elon Musk says ASML and other critical semiconductor equipment suppliers will expedite shipments to Terafab — facility targets volume chip production by Q3-Q4, 2028, in 'highly aspirational' timeline
    Tom's Hardware
  • 17h
    Elon Musk signals Tesla and SpaceX could merge. Here's why he thinks it's a good idea.
    CBS News
  • 17h
    Elon Musk says he’s staying in Memphis ‘night and day’ guiding data center buildout
    WREG.com
  • 18h
    John Malone Predicts a Major Deal Between Skydance and Elon Musk’s SpaceX
    The Hollywood Reporter
  • 18h
    Elon Musk Was Briefly A Trillionaire Again After SpaceX, Tesla Surge Pushed Net Worth Up $88 Billion
    Forbes
  • 18h
    Elon Musk & Larry Ellison Will Join Forces To Boost Both Starlink And Skydance, John Malone Predicts
    Deadline
  • 19h
    Trump administration points to Elon Musk over orders for Starlink slowdown on Ukraine
    CNBC
  • 19h
    Beloved indie film and TV star stuns fans by praising Trump and Elon Musk
    The Mercury News
  • 21h
    Nvidia Stock Rises in Wednesday Premarket as Elon Musk Says SpaceX Is Adding 200,000 Chips a Month — Daniel Newman Says NVDA Is 'Ripping' (UPDATED)
    Yahoo Finance
  • 22h
    Is Elon Musk the October Surprise?
    WSJ
  • 23h
    Rockets, robots and risk: Elon Musk’s $3.6tn gamble to merge Tesla and SpaceX
    Financial Times
  • 1d
    Why Elon Musk Wants to Merge SpaceX and Tesla
    Time Magazine
  • 1d
    ‘Tap-dancing through a minefield’: Elon Musk’s $3.5 trillion Tesla-SpaceX merger talks expose his power—and scant accountability
    Fortune
  • 1d
    Elon Musk’s SpaceX posts first profit since going public
    The Washington Post
  • 1d
    Elon Musk says SpaceX and Tesla exploring largest merger in history
    Al Jazeera
  • 1d
    Tesla revenue flattens out as Elon Musk eyes possible SpaceX deal
    Axios
  • 1d
    Space X and Tesla exploring merger, CEO Elon Musk says
    Axios
  • 1d
    Elon Musk Teases Tesla Merger and $1 Trillion Milestone for SpaceX
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Elon Musk says Tesla and SpaceX are weighing a $3.5 trillion merger—without him in the room
    Fortune
  • 1d
    Tesla and SpaceX Formed Committees to Discuss Potential Merger, Elon Musk Says
    WSJ
  • 1d
    SpaceX will attempt 1st-ever double Starship rocket catch on next test launch, Elon Musk says
    Space
  • 1d
    Elon Musk ordered Starlink slowdown for Ukraine: Report
    CNBC
  • 1d
    If Elon Musk gifts SpaceX stock through Trump Accounts, it will come with a catch
    CNBC
  • 2d
    Capitol agenda: Dem gavels are coming for Elon Musk
    Politico
  • 2d
    Democrats have a message for Elon Musk: Watch out
    Politico
  • 2d
    Can Elon Musk Give a SpaceX Share to Every Child on Earth ?
    ictworks.org
  • 2d
    Elon Musk says he's giving SpaceX stock to every kid in America
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Elon Musk pledges to give every child in America a SpaceX share next year
    Fox Business
  • 3d
    Elon Musk says he is going to give SpaceX stock away to kids
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Elon Musk says he'll give a SpaceX share to every child in America next year
    CNBC
  • 4d
    Opinion | Elon Musk Is Beyond the Pale
    The New York Times
  • 4d
    Elon Musk just showed off a flying car. Here’s what to know about the Tesla Roadster
    Los Angeles Times
  • 5d
    Opinion | Another reason to be excited about Elon Musk’s flying car
    The Washington Post
  • 5d
    Expert goes inside Elon Musk's 'UNBELIEVABLE' new invention
    Fox Business
  • 5d
    ‘It can basically fly, like a rocket’: Tesla CEO Elon Musk on new Roadster sports car
    Global News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
65-8932 · 1
40-6422 · 0
140-16422 · 0
90-11411 · 0
115-13911 · 0

5 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 10 options

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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165-189 · Buy YesOption 7 of 10

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No100¢
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Before you decide · 165-189

  • News56 today · latest 1h
  • AI analysts1% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.