How do I trade on "Will "Elsinore" win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN24 optionsCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 24 options

The Odyssey 46%You Can See Everything 20%La Bola Negra 19%Dune: Part Three 9%

24 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

The Odyssey46%−2.0 pts49%2 · 0

You Can See Everything20%+1.2 pts12%0 · 1

La Bola Negra19%—15%1 · 0

Dune: Part Three9%—8%none

Digger4%+0.2 pts8%none

Wild Horse Nine2%+0.3 pts3%0 · 1

Fjord1%—4%none

Project Hail Mary<1%+0.1 pts5%none

The Invite<1%—1%none

The Social Reckoning<1%+0.2 pts1%none

Artificial<1%—3%none

The Debut<1%—3%none

Behemoth!<1%—2%none

Tony<1%+0.1 pts1%none

The Drama<1%—1%none

Elsinore<1%+0.2 pts4%none

Obsession<1%—1%none

Clarissa———none

Saturn Return———none

Disclosure Day———none

Fatherland———none

All of a Sudden———none

Michael———none

Avengers: Doomsday———none

24 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

The Odyssey46%49%+3

You Can See Everything20%12%−8

La Bola Negra19%15%−4

Dune: Part Three9%8%−1

Digger4%8%+4

Wild Horse Nine2%3%+1

+18 more options

AI analysts' average · Elsinore

4 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

You Can See Everything: AI 12% vs market 20%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

13h
Best Director Oscars 2027 Contenders & Predictions: Christopher Nolan, Martin McDonagh, Olivia Wilde In The Mix
The Playlist
20h
#OscarsSoWhite … again? The post-‘Sinners’ Oscar season falls short on diversity
Gold Derby
2d
A Post-Film Festival Analysis of the 2027 Oscar Contenders
Matthew Huff | Substack
3d
‘Rehearsals for a Revolution,’ ‘They’re Here’ win top documentary prizes at the 2026 Woodstock Film Festival en route to Oscar berths
Gold Derby

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

The Odyssey22 · 0

You Can See Everything10 · 1

La Bola Negra11 · 0

Wild Horse Nine10 · 1

20 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 24 options

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN24 optionsCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 24 options

The Odyssey 46%You Can See Everything 20%La Bola Negra 19%Dune: Part Three 9%

24 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

The Odyssey46%−2.0 pts49%2 · 0

You Can See Everything20%+1.2 pts12%0 · 1

La Bola Negra19%—15%1 · 0

Dune: Part Three9%—8%none

Digger4%+0.2 pts8%none

Wild Horse Nine2%+0.3 pts3%0 · 1

Fjord1%—4%none

Project Hail Mary<1%+0.1 pts5%none

The Invite<1%—1%none

The Social Reckoning<1%+0.2 pts1%none

Artificial<1%—3%none

The Debut<1%—3%none

Behemoth!<1%—2%none

Tony<1%+0.1 pts1%none

The Drama<1%—1%none

Elsinore<1%+0.2 pts4%none

Obsession<1%—1%none

Clarissa———none

Saturn Return———none

Disclosure Day———none

Fatherland———none

All of a Sudden———none

Michael———none

Avengers: Doomsday———none

24 options trading, by chance. +3 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

The Odyssey46%49%+3

You Can See Everything20%12%−8

La Bola Negra19%15%−4

Dune: Part Three9%8%−1

Digger4%8%+4

Wild Horse Nine2%3%+1

+18 more options

AI analysts' average · Elsinore

4 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

You Can See Everything: AI 12% vs market 20%, 8 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

13h
Best Director Oscars 2027 Contenders & Predictions: Christopher Nolan, Martin McDonagh, Olivia Wilde In The Mix
The Playlist
20h
#OscarsSoWhite … again? The post-‘Sinners’ Oscar season falls short on diversity
Gold Derby
2d
A Post-Film Festival Analysis of the 2027 Oscar Contenders
Matthew Huff | Substack
3d
‘Rehearsals for a Revolution,’ ‘They’re Here’ win top documentary prizes at the 2026 Woodstock Film Festival en route to Oscar berths
Gold Derby

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

The Odyssey22 · 0

You Can See Everything10 · 1

La Bola Negra11 · 0

Wild Horse Nine10 · 1

20 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 24 options

Resolution criteria: The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 24 options

Related Markets

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 24 options

Related Markets

AI analysts

News

AI analysts

News