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MarketsMovies & TV

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN4 optionsCloses Mar 15, 2027Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 4 options

The Odyssey 48%La Bola Negra 19%You Can See Everything 18%Dune: Part Three 9%

4 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
The Odyssey48%−1.0 pts49%2 · 0
La Bola Negra19%—19%1 · 0
You Can See Everything18%+4.4 pts12%0 · 1
Dune: Part Three9%−2.0 pts9%none

4 options trading, by chance. +23 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
The Odyssey48%49%+1
La Bola Negra19%19%0
You Can See Everything18%12%−6
Dune: Part Three9%9%0

AI analysts' average · La Bola Negra

19%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

You Can See Everything: AI 12% vs market 18%, 6 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's film awards traders by 3-month profit · updated 1h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
The Odyssey22 · 0
La Bola Negra11 · 0
You Can See Everything10 · 1

1 option: no ranked trader holds it

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 4 options

Resolution criteria
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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La Bola Negra · Buy YesOption 2 of 4

Polymarket price · live

Yes19¢
No82¢
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Before you decide · La Bola Negra

  • News2 today · latest 11h
  • AI analysts19% · level
  • Tiers 1–21 Yes · 0 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.