MarketsMovies & TV
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
Resolved0 options4 closedResearch 6d ago
0 options · in level order
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
0 open levels, in level order. +7 more on Polymarket
The calls
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
AI analysts' average · 120-140M
2%
2 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst
Track record
Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 360 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- In plain English
- Yes if the 'views' counter on Rockstar Games' YouTube video 'Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer' (rz1B4B2yBZY) is between 120 and 140 million at the end of its first 7 days after posting. A value exactly on a bracket edge goes to the higher bracket. The market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 7 days after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 7 days are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).
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