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Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN13 levels openResearch 2h ago
Michael Owen 66%David Beckham 62%Lionel Messi 38%Kaka 29%
Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%. Levels are in price order, as on Polymarket.
13 levels open · in level order
OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
13 open levels, in level order. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Lionel Messi38%42%+4
Cristiano Ronaldo4%3%−1
Lamine Yamal98%92%−6
Kylian Mbappé84%73%−11
Harry Kane98%95%−3
Ousmane Dembélé93%91%−2
+7 more options
AI analysts' average · Harry Kane
95%
3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst
Biggest gap
Zinedine Zidane: AI 32% vs market 75%, 43 pts below
Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
13 options: no ranked trader holds them
Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
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- Resolution criteria
- The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.
