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MLB Postseason: World Series MVP

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN27 optionsCloses Nov 16, 2026Research 59m ago

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 27 options

Junior Caminero 7%Brice Turang 6%Yandy Díaz 3%Jacob Misiorowski 2%

27 options · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Junior Caminero7%−5.2 pts7%none
Brice Turang6%−6.4 pts7%none
Yandy Díaz3%−7.0 pts3%none
Jacob Misiorowski2%−6.6 pts2%none
Chandler Simpson1%−2.0 pts1%none
Nick Martinez1%+0.4 pts1%none
Wilyer Abreu<1%−0.8 pts1%none
Colson Montgomery<1%−0.3 pts1%none
Jose Altuve<1%−2.0 pts1%none
Kyle Tucker<1%−0.2 pts1%none
Tyler Glasnow<1%−1.1 pts1%none
Jarren Duran———none
Willson Contreras———none
Tanner Bibee———none
Travis Bazzana———none
Sam Antonacci———none
Christian Walker———none
Hunter Brown————
Isaac Paredes———none
Peter Lambert————
Yordan Alvarez————
Chris Sale————
Drake Baldwin————
Bryce Harper————
Trea Turner———none
Fernando Tatis Jr.———none
Manny Machado———none

27 options trading, by chance. +30 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance · updated 59m ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Junior Caminero7%7%0
Brice Turang6%7%+1
Yandy Díaz3%3%0
Jacob Misiorowski2%2%0
Chandler Simpson1%1%0
Nick Martinez1%1%0
+21 more options

AI analysts' average · Jacob Misiorowski

2%

level with the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 1 level, 0 price closer, on 312 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 8h
    Jacob Misiorowski assesses his pitching performance in Game 1 of the World Series
    Yahoo Sports
  • 8h
    World Series 2026: Jacob Misiorowski finds a way, with another assist from the bullpen, to lead Brewers to Game 1 victory
    Yahoo Sports
  • 9h
    Jacob Misiorowski grinds his way through a Game 1 World Series victory
    Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
  • 10h
    Brewers’ Jacob Misiorowski sets World Series velocity record on his first pitch
    AP News
  • 10h
    Unexpected Jacob Misiorowski development in World Series Game 1 may change everything for Brewers
    Yahoo Sports
  • 10h
    Jacob Misiorowski makes history on the first pitch of the 2026 World Series
    WISN
  • 11h
    Grain Valley bar hosts World Series watch party for Jacob Misiorowski
    Yahoo Sports
  • 11h
    Jacob Misiorowski reacts to first World Series win, WILD ending to Game 1 of Brewers vs Rays
    FOX Sports
  • 13h
    Watch Jacob Misiorowski Make MLB History with Fastest World Series Pitch Ever Recorded on Video
    Bleacher Report
  • 14h
    World Series 2026: Jacob Misiorowski throws fastest pitch in recorded Fall Classic history at 103.5 mph
    Yahoo Sports
  • 20h
    What Pokémon energy is Jacob Misiorowski bringing to the World Series?
    Yahoo Sports
  • 22h
    Brewers’ Jacob Misiorowski gets intriguing World Series MVP prediction
    Yahoo Sports
  • 1d
    Jacob Misiorowski brings tall tales -- and talent -- to World Series
    ESPN
  • 1d
    Ranking the 12 best players in 2026 World Series, from Junior Caminero to Jacob Misiorowski
    Yahoo Sports
  • 1d
    Brewers’ Jacob Misiorowski set to make MLB World Series history two pitches into Game 1
    Yahoo Sports
  • 1d
    Brewers superstar pitcher Jacob Misiorowski’s World Series strategy includes Pokemon plan
    Yahoo Sports
  • 1d
    World Series 2026: It will be Jacob Misiorowski vs. Nick Martinez in Game 1 as Brewers host Rays
    Yahoo Sports
  • 1d
    The best postseason performances by reigning World Series MVPs
    MLB.com
  • 1d
    This Jacob Misiorowski-Drew Rasmussen World Series comparison will catch Brewers, Rays fans’ attention
    Yahoo Sports
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

21 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 27 options

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Willie Mays World Series MVP Award for the 2026 World Series. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If more than one player is named the winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, or no winner of the award is announced by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Willie Mays World Series MVP Award for the 2026 World Series. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If more than one player is named the winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, or no winner of the award is announced by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Related Markets

Will Chris Sale win the 2026 World Series MVP?

Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 World Series MVP?

Will Peter Lambert win the 2026 World Series MVP?

Will Bryce Harper win the 2026 World Series MVP?

Jacob Misiorowski · Buy YesOption 4 of 27

Polymarket price · live

Yes—
No—
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Before you decide · Jacob Misiorowski

  • News12 today · latest 8h
  • AI analysts2% · level
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.