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MLB Postseason: World Series MVP

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN27 optionsCloses Nov 16, 2026

Polymarket chance · top 4 of 27 options

Brice Turang 7%Junior Caminero 7%Jacob Misiorowski 4%Yandy Díaz 3%

27 options · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Brice Turang7%−1.7 pts7%none
Junior Caminero7%−5.2 pts7%none
Jacob Misiorowski4%−4.5 pts2%none
Yandy Díaz3%−7.0 pts3%none
Nick Martinez1%+0.4 pts1%none
Chandler Simpson1%−2.0 pts1%none
Wilyer Abreu<1%−0.8 pts1%none
Colson Montgomery<1%−0.3 pts1%none
Jose Altuve<1%−2.0 pts1%none
Kyle Tucker<1%−0.2 pts1%none
Tyler Glasnow<1%−1.1 pts1%none
Jarren Duran———none
Willson Contreras———none
Tanner Bibee———none
Travis Bazzana———none
Sam Antonacci———none
Christian Walker———none
Hunter Brown———none
Isaac Paredes———none
Peter Lambert———none
Yordan Alvarez———none
Chris Sale———none
Drake Baldwin———none
Bryce Harper———none
Trea Turner———none
Fernando Tatis Jr.———none
Manny Machado———none

27 options trading, by chance. +30 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Brice Turang7%7%0
Junior Caminero7%7%0
Jacob Misiorowski4%2%−2
Yandy Díaz3%3%0
Nick Martinez1%1%0
Chandler Simpson1%1%0
+21 more options

AI analysts' average · Willson Contreras

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 10h
    2026 World Series MVP: Chourio, Contreras Favored Early; Caminero Third
    FOX Sports
  • 13h
    William Contreras & Willson Contreras: Meet the MLB Brothers
    Yahoo Sports
  • 1d
    Predicting World Series MVP between Brewers-Rays, and it’s not William Contreras
    Yahoo Sports
  • 1d
    The best postseason performances by reigning World Series MVPs
    MLB.com
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No

27 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 27 options

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Willie Mays World Series MVP Award for the 2026 World Series. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If more than one player is named the winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, or no winner of the award is announced by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Willie Mays World Series MVP Award for the 2026 World Series. If the winner is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If more than one player is named the winner of the award, each listed player's market, including those of the co-winners, will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, or no winner of the award is announced by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
How markets resolve
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Willson Contreras · Buy YesOption 13 of 27

Polymarket price · live

Yes1¢
No—
Trade on Polymarket

Opens Polymarket in a new tab. Not affiliated with Polymarket. Kellian never holds your money.

Before you decide · Willson Contreras

  • News2 today · latest 10h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.