MarketsPolitics
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result
OPEN3 optionsResearch 1d ago
Chiang Wan-an 64%Puma Shen 37%
3 options · by chance
OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
3 options trading, by chance.
AI analysts
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Chiang Wan-an64%65%+1
Puma Shen37%37%0
Kuo Hsi———
AI analysts' average · Kuo Hsi
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Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.
The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
News
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.
Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Chiang Wan-anYes seal7seal7: Tier 2, #17 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 No anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T15 seal7seal7: Tier 2, #17 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2hideohideo: Tier 2, #31 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T15 · 1
Puma ShenYes anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 No GollumGekkoGollumGekko: Tier 2, #37 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T11 GollumGekkoGollumGekko: Tier 2, #37 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T21 · 1
1 option: no ranked trader holds it
Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.
See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Rules
Show rulesHide rules
- Resolution criteria
- Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
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