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MarketsPolitics

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN12 optionsCloses Nov 5, 2026Research 1h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 12 options

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems 41%Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps 15%Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems 15%Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 15%

12 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems41%+3.0 pts21%3 · 1
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps15%+0.5 pts13%none
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems15%+1.5 pts11%1 · 0
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems15%−5.9 pts10%none
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps9%+1.0 pts8%none
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems6%+0.7 pts5%none
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems4%+0.2 pts7%none
Lula, Netanyahu, Reps3%+0.4 pts4%none
Lula, Bennett, Dems2%—5%none
Lula, Eizenkot, Reps1%—7%none
Lula, Bennett, Reps<1%—3%none
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps<1%−0.9 pts3%none

12 options trading, by chance. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 1h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems41%21%−20
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps15%13%−2
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems15%11%−4
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems15%10%−5
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps9%8%−1
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems6%5%−1
+6 more options

AI analysts' average · Lula, Eizenkot, Reps

7%

6 pts above the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems: AI 21% vs market 41%, 20 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

No headlines about this market in the last 7 days.

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems43 · 1
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems11 · 0

10 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 12 options

The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Lula, Eizenkot, Reps · Buy YesOption 10 of 12

Polymarket price · live

Yes2¢
No100¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · Lula, Eizenkot, Reps

  • News0 today
  • AI analysts7% · 6 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.