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MarketsPolitics

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN6 optionsCloses Nov 5, 2026Research 4h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 6 options

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems 38%Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps 15%Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems 15%Lula, Eizenkot, Dems 10%

6 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems38%+1.0 pts21%4 · 1
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps15%−1.5 pts13%none
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems15%+3.5 pts9%1 · 0
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems10%+2.3 pts11%none
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps9%+1.0 pts9%none
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems6%−3.0 pts3%none

6 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

6 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 4h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems38%21%−17
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps15%13%−2
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems15%9%−6
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems10%11%+1
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps9%9%0
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems6%3%−3

AI analysts' average · Lula, Eizenkot, Dems

11%

1 pts above the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems: AI 21% vs market 38%, 17 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 4h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems54 · 1
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems11 · 0

4 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 6 options

Resolution criteria
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections. For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026 Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution. In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

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Lula, Eizenkot, Dems · Buy YesOption 4 of 6

Polymarket price · live

Yes11¢
No91¢
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Before you decide · Lula, Eizenkot, Dems

  • News0 today
  • AI analysts11% · 1 pts above
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.