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Bulgaria Presidential Election

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN9 optionsCloses Oct 27, 2026

Polymarket chance · top 1 of 9 options

Аndrey Gyurov 13%

9 options · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Аndrey Gyurov13%—8%0 · 3
Nikolai Denkov———none
Blagomir Kotsev———none
Rosen Zhelyazkov———none
Kostadin Kostadinov———none
Natalia Kiselova———none
Atanas Atanasov———none
Delyan Peevski———none
Vassil Terziev———none

9 options trading, by chance. +5 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Аndrey Gyurov13%8%−5
Nikolai Denkov———
Blagomir Kotsev———
Rosen Zhelyazkov———
Kostadin Kostadinov———
Natalia Kiselova———
+3 more options

AI analysts' average · Аndrey Gyurov

8%

5 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Track record

Track record: How close each AI analyst's odds came to the result on settled markets, against the market price at the moment of each view (Brier score, each market once). 0 level, 1 price closer, on 250 settled markets each. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 8h
    Voting Abroad in Bulgaria's Presidential Election Begins in New Zealand
    БТА
  • 9h
    Election commission tells Black Sea assembly observers how Bulgaria will elect a president on 25 October
    BurgasMedia
  • 14h
    Presidential elections in Bulgaria: Foreign policy is a key issue
    vijesti.me
  • 15h
    Bulgaria votes in presidential race shaped by Russia ties, Black Sea security
    Türkiye Today
  • 20h
    Presidential elections in Bulgaria tomorrow, a second round expected
    Serbian News Media
  • 21h
    Clocks go back an hour on night of Bulgaria's presidential election
    BurgasMedia
  • 21h
    [Interview] Bulgaria’s presidential election becomes a test of Rumen Radev’s grip on power
    EUobserver
  • 21h
    Bulgaria Enters Election Silence Period as Tight Security Measures and Massive Logistical Operation Precede Sunday's Presidential Vote
    BGNES
  • 22h
    Day of reflection in Bulgaria ahead of Presidential election
    БНР Новини
  • 1d
    Presidential Election Campaign Ends at Midnight Ahead of October 25 Vote
    БТА
  • 1d
    Bulgaria heads to presidential election amid Black Sea tensions, with Iliana Iotova leading polls
    ProtoThema English
  • 1d
    Bulgaria election campaign hit by controversy after security officer shoves reporter to ground
    EUalive
  • 1d
    Bulgaria’s Presidential Election Tests Relations with Russia as Black Sea Security Fears Grow
    EU Today
  • 1d
    Sunny Weekend Expected in Bulgaria Ahead of the Presidential Election
    Novinite.com
  • 1d
    Bulgaria’s Presidential Vote Tests the Reach of Radev’s Power
    Transitions Online
  • 1d
    Gallup Poll: Yotova at 43.2%, Gyurov at 29.7% Ahead of Bulgaria’s Presidential Vote
    BGNES
  • 1d
    EXPLAINER – Bulgaria’s presidential race tests country’s geopolitical direction
    Anadolu Ajansı
  • 1d
    The Week: Black Sea tensions mount; Bulgaria heads toward presidential vote
    www.capital.bg
  • 1d
    Bulgaria’s Presidential Frontrunner Holds Lead Despite Drone Controversy
    Balkan Insight
  • 1d
    Bulgaria: Presidential elections amid rising tensions in the Black Sea
    Veridica.ro
  • 1d
    Bulgaria Election Preview
    Post Register
  • 2d
    Radev lashes at MEPs over Black Sea resolution ahead of Bulgaria’s presidential election
    EUalive
  • 2d
    How Russian aggression is shaping Bulgaria's presidential election
    DW.com
  • 2d
    Bulgaria: Concerns about security in the Black Sea dominate presidential election campaign
    DW.com
  • 2d
    More Polling Stations in Istanbul and Bursa for Bulgaria’s October 25 Presidential Elections
    БТА
  • 2d
    Poll: Yotova Leads Gyurov by 14.5 Points in Bulgaria's Presidential Race
    Novinite.com
  • 2d
    Black Sea attacks raise stakes in Bulgaria presidential vote
    Yahoo News UK
  • 2d
    FACTBOX - Bulgaria to hold presidential elections on Oct 25
    SeeNews
  • 3d
    Bulgaria Presidential Vote: 6.59 Million Eligible, Voter Turnout Stands at 38.1%
    Novinite.com
  • 3d
    Bulgaria’s 2026 presidential elections: Yotova 47.3%, Gyurov 30.6% – Market Links poll
    The Sofia Globe
  • 3d
    Poll: Yotova at 47.3%, Gyurov at 30.6%, Kostadinov with 10.3% in Presidential Race
    Novinite.com
  • 4d
    Bosilegrad Polling Station to Offer Machine Voting for First Time in Bulgarian Presidential Elections
    БТА
  • 4d
    UPDATED 6.59 Million People Eligible to Vote in October 25 Presidential Election, CEC Spokesperson Says
    БТА
  • 4d
    Bulgaria: presidential elections in the shadow of war
    Osservatorio Balcani Caucaso Transeuropa
  • 4d
    Voter turnout in Presidential election expected to reach around 38%
    БНР Новини
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's election traders by 3-month profit · updated 2h ago
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Аndrey GyurovNo anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 03 anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1·seal7seal7: Tier 2, #18 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 0 · 3

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
How markets resolve
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Аndrey Gyurov · Buy YesOption 1 of 9

Polymarket price · live

Yes13¢
No88¢

Mid: The midpoint between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. When the spread is 10¢ or less, this is the chance the page shows. 13¢ · Spread: The gap between the best price to buy and the best price to sell. A wide spread means few orders near the price. 1¢

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Before you decide · Аndrey Gyurov

  • News9 today · latest 8h
  • AI analysts8% · 5 pts below
  • Tiers 1–20 Yes · 3 No
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.