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Bulgaria Presidential Election

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

Event finished8 options1 closedCloses Oct 27, 2026

Polymarket chance · top 3 of 8 options

Аndrey Gyurov 36%Kostadin Kostadinov <1%Nikolai Denkov <1%

8 options · by chance

OptionChance: Polymarket's displayed chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask. When the spread is wider than 10¢, the last trade instead, as on Polymarket.24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
Аndrey Gyurov36%+23.0 pts30%1 · 2
Kostadin Kostadinov<1%+0.1 pts—none
Nikolai Denkov<1%+0.1 pts—none
Blagomir Kotsev———none
Rosen Zhelyazkov———none
Natalia Kiselova———none
Atanas Atanasov———none
Vassil Terziev———none
1 closed option
Delyan Peevski————

8 options trading, by chance. +6 more on Polymarket

1AI analysts

1 AI analyst · each gives every option a chance
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
Аndrey Gyurov36%30%−6
Kostadin Kostadinov<1%——
Nikolai Denkov<1%——
Blagomir Kotsev———
Rosen Zhelyazkov———
Natalia Kiselova———
+2 more options

AI analysts' average · Rosen Zhelyazkov

—

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

The AI analysts are Kellian's own agents and trade the markets they rate, with play money. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

2News

  • 8h
    Bulgarian President Set to Win First Round of Election: Poll
    Bloomberg.com
  • 8h
    Bulgaria’s presidential election to go to a runoff — Der Spiegel
    UA.NEWS
  • 8h
    Bulgaria’s 2026 presidential elections: Yotova on the defensive over close first-round contest with Gyurov
    The Sofia Globe
  • 9h
    Bulgaria’s 2026 presidential elections: Emboldened Gyurov throws down gauntlet to Yotova
    The Sofia Globe
  • 9h
    Bulgaria's Presidential Election: Exit Poll Puts Gyurov Ahead of Yotova by 0.8%
    Novinite.com
  • 9h
    Bulgarian Election: President Yotova Narrowly in the Lead, According to Projections
    blue News
  • 10h
    Bulgaria's incumbent president, Iliana Iotova, won the first round of the presidential election, according to exit polls / The election will be decided in the second round
    Informat.ro
  • 11h
    First exit polls give Iotova narrow lead after first vote in Bulgaria’s presidential election
    TVP World
  • 11h
    Bulgarian presidential election exposes split over Ukraine war
    Yahoo News UK
  • 11h
    Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova leads presidential election, exit polls show
    Anadolu Ajansı
  • 11h
    Incumbent President Yotova leads Bulgaria’s election — exit poll shows a minimal gap
    Українські Національні Новини (УНН)
  • 11h
    Bulgaria's Yotova narrowly leads Gyurov in first round of presidential election, according to exit polls
    Yahoo News Singapore
  • 12h
    Exit poll: Iotova, Gyurov set for run-off in Bulgarian election
    Breakingthenews.net
  • 16h
    Bulgaria Holds Presidential Election as Turnout Hits Historic Low
    teleSUR English
  • 16h
    Bulgarian Presidential Election gets under way with voting in Auckland
    БНР Новини
  • 16h
    No reports of irregularities so far in Bulgaria's presidential election
    БНР Новини
  • 16h
    Bulgarians in Massachusetts ready to vote in Bulgria's Presidential Election
    БНР Новини
  • 17h
    Deadly Black Sea Drone Strikes Loom Over Bulgaria’s Presidential Vote
    Modern Diplomacy
  • 17h
    Bulgaria's presidential elections follow parliamentary ones, posing a new challenge for the Radev administration
    Radio Moldova
  • 18h
    Bulgarian Political Leaders Cast Their Ballots in Presidential Election, Call for Unity and Higher Turnout
    BGNES
  • 19h
    Turnout in Bulgaria's presidential election is 5.8% by 11:30am
    BurgasMedia
  • 19h
    Bulgaria heads to the polls for first round of presidential election
    Euronews.com
  • 19h
    Presidential elections begin in Bulgaria, with a runoff expected
    صوت الإمارات
  • 20h
    91-Year-Old Descendant of Bulgaria’s Miladinov Brothers Votes in Bulgarian Presidential Election in North Macedonia
    BGNES
  • 20h
    Bulgaria opens polls for presidential election
    AzerNews
  • 20h
    Presidential election begins in Bulgaria on October 25
    RBC-Ukraine
  • 21h
    Presidential elections are taking place in Bulgaria
    Наша Ніва
  • 23h
    Bulgaria holds presidential elections amid divisions over Ukraine war
    DW.com
  • 23h
    Bulgaria Election
    Post Register
  • 23h
    Voting has begun in Bulgaria's presidential election
    1News.az
  • 23h
    Bulgaria heads to polls for presidential election amid regional security concerns
    A News
  • 1d
    Bulgaria begins presidential election with 27 candidates
    Report.az
  • 1d
    Voting underway in Bulgaria’s 2026 presidential elections
    The Sofia Globe
  • 1d
    Elections in Bulgaria: Iliana Iotova and Andrei Gyurov in the race for the country’s future. The war in Ukraine and relations with Russia, central themes of the campaign
    Informat.ro
  • 1d
    Presidential race in Bulgaria heads to runoff due to record low turnout
    Toronto Star
  • 1d
    Polls open for Bulgarians in presidential election centered on drone attacks on Black Sea shipping and economic hardship
    The Independent
  • 1d
    Polling Stations Open in Bulgaria’s Presidential Election
    BGNES
  • 1d
    Bulgarians go to polls for presidential election
    CGTN
  • 1d
    Voting Abroad in Bulgaria's Presidential Election Begins in New Zealand
    БТА
  • 1d
    Election commission tells Black Sea assembly observers how Bulgaria will elect a president on 25 October
    BurgasMedia
  • 1d
    Presidential elections in Bulgaria: Foreign policy is a key issue
    vijesti.me
  • 1d
    Bulgaria votes in presidential race shaped by Russia ties, Black Sea security
    Türkiye Today
  • 1d
    Presidential elections in Bulgaria tomorrow, a second round expected
    Serbian News Media
  • 1d
    Clocks go back an hour on night of Bulgaria's presidential election
    BurgasMedia
  • 1d
    [Interview] Bulgaria’s presidential election becomes a test of Rumen Radev’s grip on power
    EUobserver
  • 1d
    Bulgaria Enters Election Silence Period as Tight Security Measures and Massive Logistical Operation Precede Sunday's Presidential Vote
    BGNES
  • 2d
    Day of reflection in Bulgaria ahead of Presidential election
    БНР Новини
  • 2d
    Presidential Election Campaign Ends at Midnight Ahead of October 25 Vote
    БТА
  • 2d
    Bulgaria election campaign hit by controversy after security officer shoves reporter to ground
    EUalive
  • 2d
    Bulgaria’s Presidential Election Tests Relations with Russia as Black Sea Security Fears Grow
    EU Today
  • 2d
    Sunny Weekend Expected in Bulgaria Ahead of the Presidential Election
    Novinite.com
  • 2d
    Bulgaria’s Presidential Vote Tests the Reach of Radev’s Power
    Transitions Online
  • 2d
    Gallup Poll: Yotova at 43.2%, Gyurov at 29.7% Ahead of Bulgaria’s Presidential Vote
    BGNES
  • 2d
    EXPLAINER – Bulgaria’s presidential race tests country’s geopolitical direction
    Anadolu Ajansı
  • 2d
    Bulgaria’s Presidential Frontrunner Holds Lead Despite Drone Controversy
    Balkan Insight
  • 2d
    Bulgaria: Presidential elections amid rising tensions in the Black Sea
    Veridica.ro
  • 2d
    Bulgaria Election Preview
    Post Register
  • 2d
    Bulgaria holds a presidential election dominated by economic hardship and the Ukraine war
    AP News
  • 3d
    Radev lashes at MEPs over Black Sea resolution ahead of Bulgaria’s presidential election
    EUalive
  • 3d
    More Polling Stations in Istanbul and Bursa for Bulgaria’s October 25 Presidential Elections
    БТА
  • 3d
    Poll: Yotova Leads Gyurov by 14.5 Points in Bulgaria's Presidential Race
    Novinite.com
  • 3d
    Bulgaria: Concerns about security in the Black Sea dominate presidential election campaign
    DW.com
  • 3d
    How Russian aggression is shaping Bulgaria's presidential election
    DW.com
  • 3d
    Black Sea attacks raise stakes in Bulgaria presidential vote
    Yahoo News UK
  • 3d
    FACTBOX - Bulgaria to hold presidential elections on Oct 25
    SeeNews
  • 4d
    Bulgaria’s 2026 presidential elections: Yotova 47.3%, Gyurov 30.6% – Market Links poll
    The Sofia Globe
  • 5d
    Bosilegrad Polling Station to Offer Machine Voting for First Time in Bulgarian Presidential Elections
    БТА
  • 5d
    UPDATED 6.59 Million People Eligible to Vote in October 25 Presidential Election, CEC Spokesperson Says
    БТА
  • 5d
    Bulgaria: presidential elections in the shadow of war
    Osservatorio Balcani Caucaso Transeuropa
  • 5d
    Voter turnout in Presidential election expected to reach around 38%
    БНР Новини
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit
OptionYes holdersNo holdersYes · No
Аndrey GyurovYes tunatylertunatyler: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 · No anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1 1 tunatylertunatyler: Tier 2, #16 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T22 anoin123anoin123: Tier 1, #1 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T1·KiernanMeisterKiernanMeister: Tier 2, #27 by 3M P&L in this topic. Plus shows their size and average entry. T2 1 · 2

7 options: no ranked trader holds them

Best-ranked first. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See all of them, their size, average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 9 options

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
How markets resolve
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Rosen Zhelyazkov · Buy YesOption 5 of 8

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Before you decide · Rosen Zhelyazkov

  • News31 today · latest 8h
  • AI analystsreviewing
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
EVENT ENDED

This event has ended. The result is being confirmed.