How do I trade on "Will Nir Barkat receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?"?

Trade this market based on your view. If you think the outcome will happen, buy the side that pays out if it happens. If you think it won't, buy the side that pays out if it doesn't. Prices reflect the market's estimated probability.

When does this market resolve?

Markets resolve automatically based on real-world data. Check the resolution date shown on the market page.

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN17 optionsCloses Oct 29, 2026Research 3h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 17 options

Gadi Eizenkot 64%Benjamin Netanyahu 33%Naftali Bennett 3%Yair Lapid <1%

17 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Gadi Eizenkot64%+4.0 pts49%none

Benjamin Netanyahu33%+1.5 pts30%none

Naftali Bennett3%+2.6 pts6%none

Yair Lapid<1%—1%none

Gilad Erdan<1%—1%none

Yair Golan<1%−0.1 pts2%none

Gideon Sa’ar<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Yariv Levin<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Yoaz Hendel<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Nir Barkat<1%—1%none

Ayelet Shaked<1%—1%none

Yossi Cohen<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Ofer Winter<1%—1%none

Benny Gantz<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Itamar Ben Gvir<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Amir Ohana<1%−0.5 pts1%none

Moshe Feiglin———none

17 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 3h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Gadi Eizenkot64%49%−15

Benjamin Netanyahu33%30%−3

Naftali Bennett3%6%+3

Yair Lapid<1%1%0

Gilad Erdan<1%1%0

Yair Golan<1%2%+1

+11 more options

AI analysts' average · Nir Barkat

level with the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Gadi Eizenkot: AI 49% vs market 64%, 15 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

23h
Israel Votes, Then What? a Guide to the Post-Election Drama
Haaretz
1d
2026 Israeli Elections | Prime Minister, Candidates, Knesset, Date, & Polling
Britannica
3d
Israel’s First Post-October 7 Election: What Could Change?
Middle East Institute
4d
2026 Israeli elections: What you need to know
Jewish Telegraphic Agency

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

17 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules

Resolution criteria: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN17 optionsCloses Oct 29, 2026Research 3h ago

Polymarket price · top 4 of 17 options

Gadi Eizenkot 64%Benjamin Netanyahu 33%Naftali Bennett 3%Yair Lapid <1%

17 options · by chance

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy

Gadi Eizenkot64%+4.0 pts49%none

Benjamin Netanyahu33%+1.5 pts30%none

Naftali Bennett3%+2.6 pts6%none

Yair Lapid<1%—1%none

Gilad Erdan<1%—1%none

Yair Golan<1%−0.1 pts2%none

Gideon Sa’ar<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Yariv Levin<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Yoaz Hendel<1%−0.1 pts1%none

Nir Barkat<1%—1%none

Ayelet Shaked<1%—1%none

Yossi Cohen<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Ofer Winter<1%—1%none

Benny Gantz<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Itamar Ben Gvir<1%−0.2 pts1%none

Amir Ohana<1%−0.5 pts1%none

Moshe Feiglin———none

17 options trading, by chance. +2 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 3h ago

OptionMarketAI averageAIGap

Gadi Eizenkot64%49%−15

Benjamin Netanyahu33%30%−3

Naftali Bennett3%6%+3

Yair Lapid<1%1%0

Gilad Erdan<1%1%0

Yair Golan<1%2%+1

+11 more options

AI analysts' average · Nir Barkat

level with the market · 2 AI analysts

Biggest gap

Gadi Eizenkot: AI 49% vs market 64%, 15 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

News

23h
Israel Votes, Then What? a Guide to the Post-Election Drama
Haaretz
1d
2026 Israeli Elections | Prime Minister, Candidates, Knesset, Date, & Polling
Britannica
3d
Israel’s First Post-October 7 Election: What Could Change?
Middle East Institute
4d
2026 Israeli elections: What you need to know
Jewish Telegraphic Agency

Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit

OptionHoldingTiers 1–2

17 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Resolution criteria: Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.

How markets resolve

Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket. For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

Related Markets

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

1AI analysts

2News

3Smart moneySmart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 17 options

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AI analysts

News

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