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What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in October 2026?

Polymarket prediction market· Same prices, rules and result

OPEN14 levels open1 closedCloses Nov 1, 2026Research 3h ago

Polymarket price · the 4 levels nearest 50%

↑ $216 72%↓ $208 68%↑ $224 35%↓ $200 31%

Each level is its own Yes or No; they don't add to 100%.

14 levels open

OptionChance24hAI analystsTiers 1–2Buy
↑ $2802%—1%none
↑ $2723%—1%none
↑ $2644%−0.2 pts2%0 · 2
↑ $2563%−1.0 pts2%0 · 1
↑ $2486%−1.0 pts6%0 · 1
↑ $2408%−4.5 pts12%none
↑ $23212%−21.5 pts30%none
↑ $22435%−44.0 pts70%0 · 1
↑ $21672%——none
↓ $20868%+43.0 pts30%0 · 3
↓ $20031%+21.1 pts24%0 · 2
↓ $1846%+4.0 pts3%none
↓ $1762%+0.8 pts2%none
↓ $1684%+2.7 pts1%none
1 closed level
↓ $21698%+38.5 pts65%—

14 options trading. +1 more on Polymarket For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

1AI analysts

7 AI analysts · each gives every option a chance · updated 3h ago
OptionMarketAI averageAIGap
↑ $2802%1%−1
↑ $2723%1%−2
↑ $2644%2%−2
↑ $2563%2%−1
↑ $2486%6%0
↑ $2408%12%+4
+8 more options

AI analysts' average · ↓ $168

1%

3 pts below the market · 1 AI analyst

Biggest gap

↓ $208: AI 30% vs market 68%, 38 pts below

Each AI analyst's odds and reason for every option are in Plus. The Free preview shows the averages and the gaps.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice.

2News

  • 4h
    NVIDIA Corp Stock (NVDA) Moved Down by 3.95% on Oct 22: What Signal Does It Send?
    TradingKey
  • 4h
    Nvidia Unveils AI Factory Innovations at GTC Berlin, Ticker NVDA Sees Mixed Guru and Insider Activity
    GuruFocus
  • 4h
    RTX 5090 price reaches as much as five figures, but stock slowly returns after Nvidia denies discontinuation rumors
    PC Guide
  • 4h
    Nvidia continues impressive path at GTC Berlin, BNP Paribas says (NVDA:NASDAQ)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 5h
    NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Remains a Key AI Growth Driver Despite Benchmark Headwinds
    Yahoo Finance
  • 6h
    A Quick Look at Today's Ratings for NVIDIA(NVDA.US), With a Forecast Between $300 to $315
    Moomoo
  • 6h
    Nvidia (NVDA) CEO Says AI Cloud Demand Is “Off the Charts,” So Why Are CRWV and NBIS Stocks Falling?
    TipRanks
  • 6h
    Nvidia’s Jensen Huang Reveals AI Data Center Quick-Fix. These Stocks Are Winners.
    Barron's
  • 6h
    NVIDIA (NVDA) Could Be 21% Undervalued Following Its DSX POD Launch
    Simply Wall Street
  • 7h
    Super Micro Unveils New NVIDIA AI Rack After Stock Jumps Nearly 10%
    Yahoo Finance
  • 7h
    Agility’s Digit 5 humanoid robot will run on Nvidia as it heads for Nasdaq
    The Next Web
  • 7h
    Nvidia, Intel among chip stocks to benefit as open-weight models prove expensive: BofA (NVDA:NASDAQ)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 7h
    Nvidia in talks to invest in Firmus after failed IPO - report
    Data Center Dynamics
  • 7h
    Zacks Investment Ideas feature highlights: CoreWeave and Nvidia
    The Globe and Mail
  • 8h
    Nvidia's Huang says scarce capital is holding back neocloud growth (NVDA:NASDAQ)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 8h
    Market Decline: Nvidia (NVDA), Intel (INTC), and AMD (AMD) Stocks Drop
    GuruFocus
  • 10h
    Nvidia Stock Falls in a Case of Bad Timing Over Another Potential AI Investment
    Barron's
  • 10h
    Nvidia Has 80% of Its Portfolio Invested in 2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks
    Yahoo Finance
  • 10h
    NVIDIA Corporation $NVDA Shares Purchased by Saudi Central Bank
    MarketBeat
  • 11h
    Market Chatter: Nvidia, Tesla to Invest $2.80 Billion in Samsung Electro-Mechanics
    Yahoo Finance
  • 11h
    NVIDIA (NVDA) Receives Buy Rating from Goldman Sachs with $300 T
    GuruFocus
  • 11h
    Zacks Earnings Trends Highlights: Meta, Tesla, Nvidia, Micron and Alphabet
    Yahoo Finance
  • 11h
    NVIDIA Corporation $NVDA Stock Bought by Henrickson Nauta Wealth Advisors Inc.
    MarketBeat
  • 11h
    Does Super Micro's Big Quarter Make Nvidia Stock a Buy?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 13h
    NVDA Stock Rebounds Above $220 as Amazon Buys Billions in Nvidia Chips while Electricity Constraint Threaten Returns
    FXLeaders
  • 19h
    Goldman Sachs Maintains Buy on Nvidia (NVDA) After CEO's GTC Key
    GuruFocus
  • 21h
    Jensen Huang Says the Next Wave of AI Is Physical. Forget Nvidia and Tesla, I’d Bet on These 2 Mid-Cap Stocks Instead.
    Barchart.com
  • 21h
    Nvidia (NVDA) Unveils Strategic Supply Chain Partnerships and AI Platform at GTC Berlin
    GuruFocus
  • 21h
    SpaceX, Anthropic and Nvidia Help Snap Tech Stocks Out of Their Recent Malaise
    WSJ
  • 22h
    $4,000 in These 4 Non-Nvidia Chip Stocks Could Be Worth This Much by 2030
    The Motley Fool
  • 1d
    AMD vs. Nvidia. 1 Metric Proves Which Is the Best Stock.
    The Motley Fool
  • 1d
    NVIDIA (NVDA) Leverages AI Growth to Expand Its Autonomous Driving Opportunity
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia vs. Microsoft: Is NVDA’s Explosive Growth Being Undervalued?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia (NVDA) Is Trading Like Growth Will Stop. The Numbers Say Otherwise.
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    NVIDIA (NVDA) is Strengthening AI Conviction Balanced Against Evolving Competitive Risks
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    From 14-day deployment to full-scale agent implementation! NVIDIA (NVDA.US) connects the AI monetization chain at GTC Berlin—can it ignite a new tech bull market?
    Moomoo
  • 1d
    Nvidia Stock Rises in Wednesday Premarket as Elon Musk Says SpaceX Is Adding 200,000 Chips a Month — Daniel Newman Says NVDA Is 'Ripping' (UPDATED)
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia Stock Jumps After Hours on Elon Musk’s SpaceX Chip Plan - NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA)
    Benzinga
  • 1d
    Nvidia GTC Berlin Keynote: Jensen Huang Puts $50 Billion Price Tag On 1GW AI Factory Amid DSX POD Launch
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    NVDA, ZM, SPCX Stocks Rise Premarket: Nvidia Announces AI Factory Pods, Zoom Gets Upgrade, SpaceX Target Rises
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    From Six Months to 14 Days: NVIDIA (NVDA.US) Launches DSX POD, Marking a Shift Toward Containerized Delivery for AI Factories
    Moomoo
  • 1d
    45 ETFs Add to NVIDIA (NVDA) Holdings on Oct. 19
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia (NVDA) Launches DSX AI Factory Platform to Enhance Efficiency in Europe
    GuruFocus
  • 1d
    Nvidia unveils DSX POD to accelerate AI factory deployment, adds secure AI agent framework (NVDA:NASDAQ)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 1d
    Micron and Nvidia Are the 2 Biggest Drivers of S&P 500 Earnings Growth. Are Their Stocks Buys?
    The Motley Fool
  • 1d
    Market Chatter: Nvidia in Talks to Financially Back Firmus, After Stalled IPO
    Yahoo Finance
  • 1d
    Nvidia Stock Is Up 13% This Year. Where Does the Stock Stand Now?
    TIKR.com
  • 1d
    Should You Pick NVIDIA Stock Over Its Competitors?
    Trefis
  • 1d
    NVIDIA (NVDA) in Talks to Invest in Firmus Grid After IPO Withdr
    GuruFocus
  • 1d
    NVIDIA (NVDA) Considers Investment in AI Cloud Firm Firmus Amid Market Concerns
    GuruFocus
  • 1d
    Why Isn’t Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Stock Rising Despite Reports of US$35 Billion in China AI Chip Orders?
    Stocks Down Under
  • 2d
    Nvidia Reportedly Just Landed $35 Billion In Chip Orders From Chinese Companies. Here's Why That Could Be Great News for the Stock
    The Motley Fool
  • 2d
    Amazon (AMZN) is buying billions in Nvidia (NVDA) AI systems it can't yet turn on, Business Insider reports
    Newsquawk
  • 2d
    Why Nvidia Needs CoreWeave
    WSJ
  • 2d
    Nvidia may be backstopping Oracle data centers, TD Cowen says (NVDA:NASDAQ)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 2d
    Nvidia (NVDA) Secures $35B RTX Pro 5500 GPU Orders from Chinese Giants Amid Supply Constraints
    GuruFocus
  • 2d
    These 2 Billionaires Like Nvidia (NVDA). Should You Buy the Dip Ahead of Earnings?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Morgan Stanley forecasts $1.58 tn AI boom as Nvidia (NVDA) exposure hits 92%
    Beinsure
  • 2d
    Is Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Priced Right?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 2d
    Nvidia Stock Hasn’t Been This Cheap in 7 Years. Only 1 Explanation Makes Sense.
    The Motley Fool
  • 2d
    Nvidia NVDA Stock Rebounds as Memory Price Optimism Offsets Semiconductor Sell-Off
    FXLeaders
  • 2d
    Nvidia (NVDA) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Lags Massive Earnings Growth—A Compelling Value Opportunity
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Nvidia: The Real Competitive Advantage Isn't About The Chip (NASDAQ:NVDA)
    Seeking Alpha
  • 3d
    What Is Nvidia (NVDA) Signaling With New AI Chip And Space Computing Deals?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Nvidia Stock Could Be Headed for a Significant Revaluation
    24/7 Wall St.
  • 3d
    NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Reportedly Brings Samsung and TSMC Together for Next-Gen AI Chips
    Stocks Down Under
  • 3d
    ETFs Are Net Sellers of NVIDIA (NVDA) on Thursday
    Yahoo Finance
  • 3d
    Should You Be Worried About NVIDIA Stock?
    Trefis
  • 3d
    NVIDIA RTX Spark Hits 6 OEMs, $2,899 Price Leak [2026]
    shattered.io
  • 3d
    Nvidia B200 Price Hits $8.01/Hr as GPU Costs Diverge
    shattered.io
  • 3d
    Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) Stock Loses $350 Billion in One Week as AI Selloff Deepens
    Stocks Down Under
  • 5d
    Nvidia (NVDA) Trades Far Below Its Usual Multiple, Is Customer Debt the Real Risk?
    Yahoo Finance
  • 6d
    $NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ proving again to be a winner when you least expect it! 🤩
    Moomoo
  • 6d
    Nvidia Stock News (Oct 16, 2026): NVDA Falls 1.8% to $217.23
    Gotrade
  • 6d
    How Investors Are Reacting To NVIDIA (NVDA) AI Partnership Wave
    Yahoo Finance
Headlines link to the publisher. Kellian shows titles only.

3Smart money: Ranked traders who hold this market: side, shares and average entry. From Polymarket's public data.

Polymarket's traders in this topic by 3-month profit · updated 3h ago
OptionHoldingTiers 1–2
↓ $20830 · 3
↑ $26420 · 2
↓ $20020 · 2
↑ $25610 · 1
↑ $24810 · 1
↑ $22410 · 1

8 options: no ranked trader holds them

Each cell: holders of Yes · No. Tier 1 ranks 1–10, Tier 2 ranks 11–50.

See who they are, their average entry, when most of their shares came in, and every move.

For information purposes only. Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Rules Polymarket's rules · the same for all 15 options

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.Show rulesHide rules
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during October 2026, any 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify. Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD?t=1773432000) If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.Kellian is not affiliated with Polymarket.
How markets resolve
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↓ $168 · Buy YesOption 14 of 14

Polymarket price · live

Yes8¢
No100¢
Trade on Polymarket

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Before you decide · ↓ $168

  • News30 today · latest 4h
  • AI analysts1% · 3 pts below
  • Tiers 1–2none of the top 50
Paper trading · play money

Paper-trade this market before you decide: same price as Polymarket, play money with no cash value.